@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
98
Top 2% · #1 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
391
11 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
57.7%
225 correct / 165 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
+2.06%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+805.6%
Equal stake on all 391 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.69%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (84) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 27% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 58.4% | 97 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −249.6% | 21 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.69% | 94 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“A large group of investors are waiting for #Bitcoin to drop to $40,000 and to bottom in October. What if that doesn't happen? What's plan B? Most of those people will then be buying back at $90,000 per #Bitcoin. That, to me, is a stupid strategy to go for. I think that buying #Bitcoin at $60,000 is such a phenomenal opportunity that, if you're having a 2-5 year horizon, is a must to accumulate for in the first place. If there's another drop to $40,000, sure, that gives an even extra opportunity, however, I wouldn't blindly go for that scenario from here.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.22 | 94 | 25% |
All time · stated
“Classic #Bitcoin push on a Saturday. We'll most likely retrace that on the Monday open, but honestly, the volatility is so low on the markets, a big move is literally around the corner. I'm not surprised if that's going to be a strong move upwards, as I'm allocated entirely into #Altcoins right now.”
“It's all an insider game. Trump wants to charge $100,000 per month for his platform, so you'll receive real-time updates. This is the final stage of the financial system, and it's a corrupt one. You ask yourself; why has #Crypto and #Bitcoin been going down so much? The answer is really simple: Trump and all of his friends had to acquire as much as possible, before the markets are ready to go up. As it's now become public that he holds more than $1 billion in crypto, there's no turning back other than advocating for the Clarity Act and approval. Once the Clarity Act is approved, there's a lower chance of easy manipulation, so this was their final window.”
“The odds of approval for the Clarity Act has dropped to its lowest point in a year. To be fair; at 31% I'd think it's a great bet to take. There are significant chances that we're going to see an approval coming week in the Senate. Other than that, big parties are involved of making sure that this happens this year, as the United States doesn't want to fall behind on #Crypto. The upside: more than 200% return. Additionally, I think that the markets are already flagging that an approval is on the horizon. Why? - #DeFi wakes up strongly with $ENA, $MORPHO, $UNI and $AAVE. - $ETH is doing significantly better than Bitcoin (both due to Robinhood and a potential approval). An asymmetric bet to take with a lot of upside.”
“$BTC looks great for a bullish breakout into next week. I'm seeing a flip of the 21-Day MA and the 50-Day MA and I think that the breakout of $65,000 upwards would be a crucial one. After that, the next targets are $68,000 | $73,000 | $80,000 for me in the short term. https://t.co/888wmuhoJM”
“@LLuciano_BTC It's clear what the wave is: there's more demand from institutions and in that regard, it's just a matter of time before price starts to pick up. The sole reason that we've seen the fact that price fell is due to OG's selling off their positions.”
“It's incredibly more likely that we'll start to see $ETH at $2,000+ in the near future. The asset is running a new upwards trend and flipping previous resistance levels for support. I don't think things should be overcomplicated, and on the lower timeframe levels, it's clearly holding the crucial support level at $1,780. As long as that holds, the trend remains to be going upwards and my next target points will be $2,200-2,400.”
“A great bounce on $ETH. It had to hold this crucial level of support, and it did. There's a lot more upside to come from here, and given that: - It's holding above the Daily MA's. - It's breaking back in the range. My next target zone for this one is at $2,500. https://t.co/rZGTXy2Mki https://t.co/4U065eUbDR”
“This is a great chart of #Bitcoin and it looks primed for a breakout upwards. Sure, markets tested whether there was enough pressure to push prices down today. Clearly, there's more demand. $65,000 breakout to happen next week. https://t.co/zIfXbnKx8L”
“Today is a big day for the Clarity Act, and there are a lot of theories going around. If this passes next week, I'm sure we'll see a lot of strength on the #Altcoin markets. If it doesn't passes before the Summer break, it's going to be boring until September. Fairly simple. However, I know what I'll be bidding: - ethereum:native - US based coins (the list that went around a few years ago) - DeFi Protocols There's nothing complex about this.”
“$ETH is ready for another leg upwards, and is just having a fairly normal correction. I don't see a reason to be bearish on Ethereum as it has just flipped into an uptrend for the first time in a year. Simply buy the dip. https://t.co/Oq1OvjHRua”
“@TedPillows It will bounce back up, there's just a little lag in there.”
“@TedPillows There's always one more final capitulation when there's just been a capitulation.”
“The structure of $ETH doesn't look bearish to me. It's having an uptrend, is above the crucial daily MA's and is just having an intraday correction. That's healthy and normal price behavior and would potentially warrant a 'Buy the dip' moment. If this drops beneath the recent trend at $1,750, that's where I would start to worry.”
“Everyone goes into panic mode on a slight correction of the markets. The best advice I can give: zoom out, relax, price hasn't moved at all, it's still range-bound and accumulate more #Bitcoin and strong #Altcoins.”