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@Excellion · Working on nation-state #Bitcoin adoption. CEO @JAN3com, building @AquaBitcoin, CEO @Pixelmatic & creator of @InfiniteFleet. Might be in HBO's #MoneyElectric.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
21
Top 79% · #17 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
21
5 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
41.7%
5 correct / 7 incorrect · 9 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-2.13%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-44.6%
Equal stake on all 21 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-1.24%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (31) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 5% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.2% | 21 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −97.0% | 70 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.24% | 18 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
9 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@MDBitcoin How can anyone not be bullish on Bitcoin?”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 60.9% |
55 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.11 | 15 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“Just a reminder that aside from capital flowing out to AI, there’s absolutely no structural reason for #Bitcoin to be down here. It’s just a self-fulfilling fear induced temporary bear market. Plan accordingly.”
““But the instrument stops working as intended.” I can’t speak on Saylor’s behalf, but I believe that is the intention. Below par = no new issuance. Again, I think it’s an elegant design. It’s a self-repairing mechanism. When STRC isn’t at par: effective yield goes up, there is buy pressure from captain gain seekers, and no new obligations incurred.”
“I’ve never been more bullish on Bitcoin. https://t.co/4gvxuO5V4g”
“I will be bullish enough to compensate for the bears. https://t.co/MeChjkFtUt”
“I remain bullish on Bitcoin.”
“The liquid AI money will seek out Bitcoin. Fixed 21M supply vs infinite dilution. Global adoption, halvings, ETFs. Not earnings or AI capex. Low correlation. Not gold either. It took decades to reach these levels and it’s still not that far off ATH. Bitcoin still hasn’t had its run up yet and is massively undervalued.”
“@BTCTimescom @Strive @_ALCPB I remain bullish.”
“You can still buy 34k Bitcoin for just a couple billion fiat dollars. Early. https://t.co/JlGbkYuCmV”