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@Excellion · Working on nation-state #Bitcoin adoption. CEO @JAN3com, building @AquaBitcoin, CEO @Pixelmatic & creator of @InfiniteFleet. Might be in HBO's #MoneyElectric.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 10 more calls to rank
Scored calls
5
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
1 correct / 1 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.15%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+0.7%
Equal stake on all 5 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.04%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (61) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 33.5% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −4.5% | 86 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.04% | 62 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
1 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Bitcoin's next leg up will be the most hated rally of all time. Everyone had the opportunity to buy the dip but didn't because they were waiting for $40k in October.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 60.0% |
45 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.01 | 69 | 25% |
30 days · stated