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@Excellion · Working on nation-state #Bitcoin adoption. CEO @JAN3com, building @AquaBitcoin, CEO @Pixelmatic & creator of @InfiniteFleet. Might be in HBO's #MoneyElectric.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
79
Top 21% · #5 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
25
1 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
55.6%
10 correct / 8 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.54%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+13.4%
Equal stake on all 25 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.73%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (74) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 4% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 55.6% | 70 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −20.1% | 88 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.73% | 76 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
23 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@IIICapital OMEGA60”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 63.0% |
52 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.13 | 79 | 25% |
All time · stated
“Just wait until it's over $90,000 again! https://t.co/cVGjufiIXS https://t.co/t1MapUWsqk”
“We haven’t had a proper Bitcoin bull run yet. https://t.co/aoi0HyAljq”
“If you held through this bear, just know that you deserved this. And they will call you lucky in 5 years. https://t.co/5ahRvTCKgk”
“Imagine believing in the 4-year cycle and expecting bitcoin:native to bottom at $40-50k in Uptober. And we’re still only in August. ♎️”
“The market smells blood in the water and is climbing into the Bitcoin boat for safety. https://t.co/zPjIlGH6eX”
“You're living through one of those 10-15 days a year where Bitcoin makes most of its gains. Enjoy.”
“OMEGA60, Bitcoin24, Stock-to-Flow, and Power Law, all independently place Bitcoin’s $1.0M milestone between 2028 and 2033, a relatively narrow five-year window. ➡️ Stock-to-Flow: May 2028 ➡️ OMEGA60: February 2031 ➡️ Bitcoin24: 2032 ➡️ Power Law: June 2033 Plan accordingly.”
“OMEGA60 joins other Bitcoin price prediction models like: Bitcoin24 from @saylor Stock-to-Flow from @100trillionUSD Power Law from @Giovann35084111”
“Introducing the OMEGA60 Bitcoin price model. It’s based on a conservative 60% MAGR and incorporates the Terminus concept, which projects the future point where measuring $BTC in fiat currency terms ceases to make sense. OMEGA60 expects Bitcoin at $1.0M in Feb 2031. ♎️📈 https://t.co/qoksJis0DM”
“@BitcoinFreedme @JAN3com @bitcoin_dawg Not really - it's all just discussions. I think Bitcoin price has to recover first before we get somewhere.”
“@BTCTimescom @Strategy Bullish.”
“@spoonmvn @naija_bitcoin No one is “teaming up” with Faketoshi. He’s trying to be relevant or troll (like Udi for BIP110). It’s like me asking you why you teamed with Udi.”
“@SimplestBTCBook @parkeralewis @Strategy REITs, even with all the ability to monetize through renting, only generate profits of 12-15% on average. If Bitcoin appreciates at 15-20% a year, it would outperform the REIT easily.”
“The fundamental value proposition for Bitcoin hasn’t changed at all: neutral, permissionless, bearer money. It’s the best hope for the future and hyperbitcoinization is inevitable because continued fiat money printing is an absolute certainty.”