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@Pentosh1 · full time larp
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 11 more calls to rank
Scored calls
4
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
1 correct / 2 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-2.27%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-9.1%
Equal stake on all 4 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-5.34%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (7) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 50% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 23.7% | 5 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −31.5% | 23 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -5.34% | 5 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
6 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH could certainly be more explosive now that $BMNR mnav is above 1 and we are making higher highs and higher lows allowing them to accumulate more rapidly feeding a positive feedback loop and as supply shrinks the bid accelerates for now”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 23.1% |
5 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.29 | 5 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“$ETH still looks good for 3-3.2k imo and could finally be breaking out after a month of consolidation https://t.co/efe0eK6pBh https://t.co/mWHOaBLPw0”
“Crazy how different all the charts look out there in terms of market structure. Which is actually nice bc it filters out a lot of trades and allows you to be a lot more selective in finding good setups overall on majors. $Eth is another Id like to add to early next week. Feels like after its next rally, whenever that is we will be seeing around 3.2k possibly. Would love to get a sweep lower first if given for those adds”
“Look at all those underside retests. Despite all the hootin and hollerin from these young whippersnappers, $sol is up 10% from its lowest weekly close over a month ago. $BTC is up 5-6% from its lowest weekly close, and $ETH is up 20%. There has been no reclaims, just underside retests. Not a lot of fun volatility. Just boring chop. I do think downside is quite limited, but again, this next cycle upside is too. We can only do the best with what we are given and make the most of it.”
“$ETH still the strongest major, if 1700's come again next month, it could be a good spot to double down. Something to hunt for the next couple weeks. Short term upside may be the low 2000's. Pre-mid terms my expectations are a bit of chop. That is the general range Im working with currently”
“@philxnft i bought eth in 1700's, pump 1701 lol. i just dont like the upside of crypto and think its going to be crap. its not really that incredibly attractive at all imo. sol is goign to do what a 2-3x this cycle?”