@Pentosh1 · full time larp
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
93
Top 7% · #2 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
31
4 pending · 13 unresolved
Hit rate
61.1%
11 correct / 7 incorrect · 13 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+9.07%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+281.2%
Equal stake on all 31 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+9.00%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (82) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 64.4% | 67 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −102.2% | 79 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +9.00% | 97 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
7 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH still looks good for 3-3.2k imo and could finally be breaking out after a month of consolidation https://t.co/efe0eK6pBh https://t.co/mWHOaBLPw0”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 65.2% |
61 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.32 | 94 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“Current alt trades updates (outside of majors) eth + sol $PUMP .001701 current .002530. 50%, coming into some resistance soon. Worth trimming. I assume once we cross the .003 range we'll start to see some heavier selling any time we approach ico price as some of those investors want to get out at break even and some unlocks will be sold there that haven't been yet. $HYPE 52.20 current 56.81. Would like to get a good position on if we see 48-52 again. Eth and Sol also never traded under entries either thus far. Although Sol Ill be out of pretty quick here. Have had nearly a 100% hit rate all year on crypto although a small sample size. mostly by doing nothing and taking a few strategic longs. For example the big prev hype rally. And staying out of the way of the big down trends.”
“@philxnft i bought eth in 1700's, pump 1701 lol. i just dont like the upside of crypto and think its going to be crap. its not really that incredibly attractive at all imo. sol is goign to do what a 2-3x this cycle?”
“@hswinters13 @AltcoinMami No. Btc imo eventually infinity”
“$USAR nice move so far this week. Think this is setting up for a larger breakout soonish. Structurally I like the way this is forming. There's also, essentially blue sky's above as it has spent little to no time trading above here with any meaningful volume https://t.co/NuLQSMoxXf”
“$USAR The US government will potentially have an 8-16% stake in this which is going to support building domestic heavy rare earth elements and magnets. Which are essentially for all advanced US weapons systems. Think things like fighter jets, missiles, radar, electronic warfare, robotics etc. China controls 85-90% of this supply chain so this is essentially national security critical. It has both macro and geopolitical tailwinds. Still pre-revenue though. So thats important to note. *Traded this one in the past from $14-28 and rebought at $17 so full disclosure that's my entry. It's a bit of a slow mover. But I think it's time for acceleration. Still not going to move as quick as the AI stocks imo but chart looks great and knocking at the door”
“You have to think of markets in terms of a pendulum. It swings from high, to low over a large period of time. The pendulum is just the momentum of it. You can often feel the shift as momentum stalls, and the pendulum begins to swing the other way and the momentum shifts again There are times where you will see me not take trades for months, or very few trades like in crypto for the better part of the last year now having been more equities focused It's all at the end of the day some form of human psychology right. The cycle is just greed to fear and fear to greed over and over. I know my strengths and weaknesses. Being in a trade every day isn't one of them. So I try to avoid the chop and wait for those signals. A balance of offense and defense. and putting yourself in a good position to win. not forcing things that aren't there Right now there's a lot of greed in AI, and a lot to support that. Bc this time, it's real. Whether it's government spending, future cost of buildouts etc. Money printing, it's all pretty supportive of that. So I think any big dip given is a huge gift if you've not ridden that momentum. A good strategy from here is probably bitcoin:native as it's likely to swing back the other way. And some ai stocks on any decent dips. So I will try to cover both of these from here on. BTC + equities”