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@Pentosh1 · full time larp
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 4 more calls to rank
Scored calls
11
4 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
75.0%
3 correct / 1 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+5.11%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+56.2%
Equal stake on all 11 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+1.44%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (66) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 9% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 65.2% | 55 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −25.9% | 76 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.44% | 76 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 80.0% |
59 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.04 | 62 | 25% |
30 days · 30d