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@Pentosh1 · full time larp
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 7 more calls to rank
Scored calls
8
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
66.7%
2 correct / 1 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
+0.87%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
+7.0%
Equal stake on all 8 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-2.29%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (48) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 25% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 52.2% | 79 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −9.1% | 97 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -2.29% | 34 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 60.0% |
21 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.20 | 24 | 25% |
30 days · 7d