@Pentosh1 · full time larp
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
31
Top 69% · #13 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
22
0 pending · 4 unresolved
Hit rate
57.1%
4 correct / 3 incorrect · 15 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
-0.35%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
-7.7%
Equal stake on all 22 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-1.97%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (42) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 27% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 53.9% | 72 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −45.2% | 66 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.97% | 19 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 76.9% |
53 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.13 | 19 | 25% |
90 days · 7d