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@Pentosh1 · full time larp
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
47
Top 53% · #10 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
21
0 pending · 4 unresolved
Hit rate
71.4%
5 correct / 2 incorrect · 14 neutral
Avg return / call
+1.49%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+31.4%
Equal stake on all 21 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-1.34%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (54) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 24% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 70.8% | 94 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −40.7% | 72 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.34% | 25 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 76.9% |
53 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.09 | 41 | 25% |
90 days · stated