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@RaoulGMI · Founder/CEO Global Macro Investor, @RealVision. Figuring things out at the nexus of Macro, Web3 & the Exponential Age. Not a guru.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 9 more calls to rank
Scored calls
6
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
2 correct / 4 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-1.15%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-6.9%
Equal stake on all 6 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.74%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (10) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 31.1% | 19 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −7.1% | 31 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.74% | 0 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 30.8% |
9 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -1.39 | 0 | 25% |
90 days · 1h