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@RaoulGMI · Founder/CEO Global Macro Investor, @RealVision. Figuring things out at the nexus of Macro, Web3 & the Exponential Age. Not a guru.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 9 more calls to rank
Scored calls
6
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
25.0%
1 correct / 3 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.88%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-5.3%
Equal stake on all 6 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.41%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (33) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 31.4% | 31 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −6.2% | 59 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.41% | 38 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
1 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Debasement drives everything. Nothing stops it until AI and robots replace population growth. Nasdaq has beaten the debasement rate by roughly 12% a year... a great asset to own, because tomorrow is always more digital than today. Bitcoin has beaten it by 89% a year. That's why crypto is the super massive black hole of asset allocation. It becomes the most powerful asset we've ever had. The greatest performing asset of all time. This is the crux of my Everything Code framework... why debt forces central banks to debase, why markets endlessly go higher, and why only tech and crypto beat it.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 30.8% |
9 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.38 | 28 | 25% |
90 days · 4h