@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
21
Top 80% · #18 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
32
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
31.3%
5 correct / 11 incorrect · 16 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.06%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-2.0%
Equal stake on all 32 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.07%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (31) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 29.2% | 3 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −2.8% | 91 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.07% | 27 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
11 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Correction 2720s *”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 55.6% |
45 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.15 | 12 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“Was always likely to help fuel the move higher…. Let the liquidity games continue https://t.co/MAib7CDRfR https://t.co/Qh2TuB9wS9”
“$ETH Eth has been rangebound for the last several years... I'd like to believe this goes past the previous ath's in terms of a cyclical play... The play for me is simple - I'll keep adding if theres anything meaningful correction... and hedge spot exposure at key macro levels... Bankless sends its regards...”
“Not surprised to see many alts to partially pullback tbh - as is generally the case when heading into uncertainty around CPI or FOMC... Key for me now in terms of context is that Bitcoin is trading below - Previous weeks vwap - Developing weekly vwap - Developing monthly vwap Session wise - failure to find acceptance back above the latter two then my expectation is that we should in theory trade down into previous weeks low... which is what I positioned for on Sunday night along with some alts. Otherwise not much else that I'm interested in at present - mainly talking to myself on here if anything... But pleased with the perfomance so far since coming back to trading in sept - still early days and anticipating a decent month in terms of macro driven volatility.”
“$BTC 60.5 - 61.3 the zone that needs to hold imo Previous weeks vvwap - 60.5s Monthly developing vwap 61.3 Acceptance through those - brings July lows into play... https://t.co/BHAv7AwDCp”
“$btc 1st objective traded 👍 2024 value area range poc, confluent with prev months vwap Benson & Hedges https://t.co/2wKeB9H8TG https://t.co/uOGpCCamyj”
“bitcoin:native and Realized price Its been one of my favorite metrics for when I've shifted to risk off mode looking for lower prices from significant highs.. Worked for me at the respective highs Nov/Dec 2021 and once again October 2025 Any periods below have represented value... Does it repeat again...? Embrace the downside... if it continues.... thats future opportunity. And eventually... the next cycle begins...”
“$BTC As someone who shorted 125 before a few days before 10/10 - having been extremely cautious for several weeks prior - and laid out my reasoning weeks in advance on public streams on YouTube... The recent surge in pessimism now that BTC is trading around 60k does not surprise me tbh. Some voices seem almost gleeful that their late bearish thesis has been “right” (what took you guys so long initially?) Though I suspect many never actually traded it. Armchair trading is comfortable when you have a large following with a mega subscription service...cool Putting the trade on is what matters and all I care about. For what it’s worth... the lower BTC goes... the more attractive it becomes from an asymmetric upside perspective. Much of the doom... I suspect... comes from those who held all the way down. For those in cash... opportunity is ahead... even if there may be a few more storms to weather ? Time capitulation ? Watch for signs of seller exhaustion... and perhaps the kind of jaw-dropping capitulation event many of us know all too well as far back as 2018... For me... it makes sense to start thinking ahead about buying levels... and execution strategy. I’ve never been interested in catching the exact bottom... nor am I a pure value investor... Having aggressively shorted the market down from the November 2021 highs... I wasn’t interested in catching the exact bottom, could argue I was rather too defensive at the lows (I was in the recession camp - lesson learnt - dont get too caught up in the macro... but we all get it wrong once in a while and learn from it. I may be slightly late again - hopefully not, but probably and I'm fine with that... just as I was in 2023 when I bought back in around 30k... despite having traded the 15k to 30k range for the best part of nine months and out performed btc during that period. The biggest gains come from upside trends... momentum, the meat of the move. Embrace the downside... if it continues.... thats future opportunity. And eventually... the next cycle begins...”
“$BTC Fairly contained price action between 76 - 78 with price having spent most of the time trading Mondays range. 76 remains a key level - confluent with May M/O H1, H4 12/25 EMA's still exhibit price weakness. A Daily 12/25 cross - not confirmed... but looking likely Fair chance price trades the set of poor lows established on Monday and Wednesday Still positioned short from 81.5s - with no reason to close out just yet - above the mid range would be a local shift in context - opening a move back towards the highs... Have a fab and blessed weekend all.”
“bitcoin:native Inefficiency traded into previous consolidation before the bigger drop in Feb Been fascinating watching the flows Continous aggressive sells being soaked by passive flows... offers lifted - shorts choked... price pops higher... will keep happening until the aggressors are longs opening into resistance for not much gain vs sellers forcing it down with no luck... Would like to see a move up into supply at 83/84 and eth to take out its highs around 25s H1 - 12/25 been intact nicely - first signs of weakness is when momentum dissipates. Conditions been great for ltf rotations”
“$BTC My main focus is previous weeks range... Brief upside moves that fail to hold tend to cast doubt on the likelihood of a genuine breakout, for which I'll continue to position for weakness, until proven otherwise. I still have no clear indication about what happens next... Possible third drive into feb highs is still for as long as previous weeks VAH / Mondays highs hold... through there then I think its far less likely outcome...”