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@blknoiz06 · coldest nigga breathing | @BullpenFi @MarketBubble
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
93
Top 7% · #2 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
123
0 pending · 11 unresolved
Hit rate
61.2%
74 correct / 47 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.22%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+27.2%
Equal stake on all 123 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.25%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (79) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 15% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 61.7% | 94 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −8.7% | 64 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.25% | 82 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
305 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“SOLETH is the better pair to look at it made higher highs past cycle on that pair & would bet that it makes higher highs again this cycle solana has continuously improved as an L1 w/ its ecosystem & technologically infra wise, while eth has outsourced most execution to rollups & most metrics are down since 2021 except tvl believe covid cycle highs were anomalously high for all alts, so hard to compare to as things went extremely high without much fundamental value behind them, we are now coming down to earth w valuations, but definitely believe that solana's ceiling is now much higher as last cycle the most dominant activity was memecoins, https://t.co/1Sc1wp5IVE, & trading terminals the moonshot thesis for sol is that it enables various successful consumer apps across tokenized stocks, rwas, perps, memes, tcgs, defi, ganing etc etc - & there is evidence of this trend starting to happen, in which case it makes sense for sol to trade much higher than it did in 2025 hyperliquid is biggest threat to solana from an onchain trading perspective & has large lead there, which is why i think its necessary to hold both hype & sol”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 92.9% |
76 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 76 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“solana looks good”
“kospi korean index down -8% today just got halted, $MU down 10% from highs after briefly making a new ATH US stock indices likely follow through tomorrow w/ downside also $BTC still holding lows but looking increasingly unlikely if general market weakness continues https://t.co/2OQLfCG4IO https://t.co/GwnmPBdo5f”
“kospi korean index down -8% today just got halted, $MU down 10% from highs after briefly making a new ATH US stock indices likely follow through tomorrow w/ downside also $BTC still holding lows but looking increasingly unlikely if general market weakness continues https://t.co/2OQLfCG4IO https://t.co/GwnmPBdo5f”
“kospi korean index down -8% today just got halted, $MU down 10% from highs after briefly making a new ATH US stock indices likely follow through tomorrow w/ downside also $BTC still holding lows but looking increasingly unlikely if general market weakness continues https://t.co/2OQLfCG4IO https://t.co/GwnmPBdo5f”
“$SOLETH pair looks good. https://t.co/64e4vb7hnR https://t.co/qeLwEtboVJ”
“$SOLETH pair looks good. https://t.co/64e4vb7hnR https://t.co/qeLwEtboVJ”
“$SOLETH pair looks good. https://t.co/64e4vb7hnR https://t.co/qeLwEtboVJ”
“OK you got me. i'm long $BTC right now new quarter, and i'm treating today's low ($58k) as my invalidation. wont be risking it down to $55k clean spot to be https://t.co/SkJrTNS7Ss https://t.co/qOa7mC5vFd”
“Everybody's gonna call me insane BUT solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 from $60 to $600 this cycle Last cycle it hit $297 on memes alone. that was the proof of concept This time solana has memes, breakout consumer apps like CARDS, AND a real perps competitor to hyperliquid https://t.co/G5ZPk8jTOi”
“Everybody's gonna call me insane BUT solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 from $60 to $600 this cycle Last cycle it hit $297 on memes alone. that was the proof of concept This time solana has memes, breakout consumer apps like CARDS, AND a real perps competitor to hyperliquid https://t.co/G5ZPk8jTOi”
“Solana's revenue is twofold. People only talk about half of it, but retail will trade both Memes: Pumpfun is the memecoin casino, which brings attention and volumes to the chain Then you have productive assets like MetaDAO, perps onchain , etc https://t.co/ypVkyFVE4g https://t.co/vdtSfDLQQQ”
“SOLANA BOTTOM IS IN I'll SAY IT FIRST everybody's max bearish SOL like they were at $8 in 2023. I think buying $SOL at these levels with a 6mo+ time horizon is a good trade https://t.co/lRcdWMUUIY”
“best case scenario is mstr premium collapses, they are no longer able to sell mstr shares for cash, they run out of runway in ~6 months, they are forced to sell btc to someone else at a steep discount to payoff existing debts, long term bitcoin bulls get discounted btc & mstr out of picture”
“thesis around buying bitcoin spot here is same as its always been hardest form of money non-seizable by govts & transferable cross borders instantaneously w/ out hassle, not affected by persistent devaluation of dollars & long term store of value to preserve wealth digital gold thesis took a hit in 2024/25 as gold outperformed during its first real rally since not making new all time highs since ~2011, believe that all it would take for confidence to return to this thesis would be momentum to the upside agree w/ @_tolks on dxy strength & upwards movements in rates dragging down gold but we are near peak hawkishness as inflation should subside as strait of hormuz reopens & gives room for warsh+fed to cut instead of hiking, lots of people sitting on realized gains from ai stocks & will diversify into RE+Cash+long term SOV of which gold & bitcoin both fit into that LT portfolio, insti interest from people like Paul Tudor Jones still present even with current negative press of saylor situation ive been very bearish btc because of saylor & didnt think 60k would hood at beginning of june but am reacting as buyers stepped in at key level, feels like we are currently pricing in the peak worst scenario of him having to sell as is evident by price action with mstr & strc, even if he does need to sell btc wont have to do so for ~6 months+ buying bitcoin here into beginning of Q3 is good trade setup at long term historical support converging with worst sentiment ive seen on the asset”