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@blknoiz06 · coldest nigga breathing | @BullpenFi @MarketBubble
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
93
Top 7% · #2 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
123
0 pending · 11 unresolved
Hit rate
61.2%
74 correct / 47 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.22%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+27.2%
Equal stake on all 123 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.25%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (79) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 15% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 61.7% | 94 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −8.7% | 64 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.25% | 82 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
305 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“last chance to sell eth over $2200”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 92.9% |
76 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 76 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“eth thesis has been weakening consistently for years, solana this cycle dominated retail activity, hyperliquid dominated perps activity, rollups still have yet to gain significant traction & vitalik publicly abandoned gen usage rollup thesis eth's main value prop has been safety + security of defi & insto interest, current aave situation is mark on that value prop that has possibility to continue weakening confidence eth in 2026 is in worse spot than it was in 2023, amplified by ai doing extremely well & tech stocks being much more favorable investments with real revenues / emerging narratives / increasing momentum, eth is $300B asset with ton of overhang from tom lee topblasting + complacent eth holders sitting idle in defi protocols ta-wise its in sustained downtrend after failing to break through multi year res levels & at current range highs of multi month bearish consolidation range, if downtrend continues should target lows of 2025 around $1300 & then lows of bear market around 2022 tight invalidation 2377 assuming problems worsen if you want to play it loose assuming other risk assets continues doing well & drags it up probably somewhere around 2700/2800 invalidation fundamentals wise would want to see breakout activity from some new vertical”
“think you can short eth here @ ~$2330 and close < $1000 by eoy”
“@Itsme48739139 @molesy39 solana is critically dependent on innovation at the app layer for it to be a good investment moving forward, cannot rely on memecoin activity and cannot be so behind HL w/ its perp dexes, 2024-now focus on ai/tech stocks of similar mcap have been much better use of time”
“@molesy39 holding eth in size till 2030 will be one of the worst investment decisions of all time, generationally bad”