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@blknoiz06 · coldest nigga breathing | @BullpenFi @MarketBubble
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
93
Top 7% · #2 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
123
0 pending · 11 unresolved
Hit rate
62.7%
37 correct / 22 incorrect · 64 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.69%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+84.8%
Equal stake on all 123 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.54%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (74) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 15% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 60.9% | 100 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.1% | 61 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.54% | 76 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
22 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“pump/sol & pump/usd pairings, swapped some more solana into pump betting on weekly close > .0055 and .01+ shortly after already 5x off bottom from summer & leading altcoin thus far this cycle believe this breaking ATHs will raise ceilings for all new launches, still very underowned, yearlong accumulation & buybacks remain consistent with crosschain mobile app gaining traction ---- other general market thoughts zec 400 to 1600 in Q3, up from 40 in september of 2025, (500M -> 20B mcap) by far the top crypto performer of the past year, entering the double bubble turbulent area where price action becomes most volatile and blow off top ensues, i believe btc 2017 is best comp, aggressive uptrend+selloffs all year btc eth & sol holding above range highs after good move off the lows from the summer, pa has been clean, no large liq runs yet but believe most are still offsides, think higher before pullbacks hype & lit have been strong but recently sold off p aggro on robinhood perps integration news, believe this is the time period where it will make the most sense for hyperliquid & lighter to be aggressive with marketing, especially hyperliquid as i feel they have dominated but mostly exhuasted all of the liquidity of the crypto native cohort, hyperliquid has ~100k active traders? RH has 25M DAUs, want to see hyperliquid move aggressively into marketing towards more retail but also tradfi HNWI clients, am sure they are already thinking of ways to do this but is necessary step for them becoming 1T+ behemoth as Jeff envisions, partnership with Kraken on US integration is a big step this is also the area where i expect a lot of builders to capitalize, HL builder codes are designed in such a way that retail frontends can build easily on top, believe gamified hyperliquid mobile apps will be some of the most successful crypto apps this cycle, similar to trading terminals success last cycle with onchain coins, social trading has been huge sofar with onchain coins, but PNLs on perps are much larger & whoever figures out how to tap that liquidity wins huge ---- timing altcoins zec uptrend started sept 2025 hype uptrend started jan 2026 pump uptrend started july 2026 ZEHYPERPUMP still strongest 3 imo stating because i believe it will be important to be able to determine where different altcoins are in their market cycles, crypto does not trade one to one anymore, btc eth sol were all in downtrend for most of the year while hype outperformed aggressively, pump was in downtrend for a year straight while zcash pumped 20x, alt szns are an ever-rotating game, not something that happens all at the same time, being able to recognize when certain trends are beginning and others are ending is a necessary skill for compounding wins together if i had to guess in terms of timing macro trends in three parts, id say zec is in its last third, hype is in its middle third, & pump is in its first third it takes time for a base to build on assets before demand outweighs supply and uptrend begins & the opposite happens at tops when supply eventually outweighs demand go look at old coinbase & robinhood charts, same trend diff timeframe ----- anyway my point being i believe we are entering a new phase for alts doing well, onchain & cex alts, cex alts currently have extreme discounts because of how poorly they did last cycle, imo this is your opportunity for identifying gems in the piles of trash, because there are some out there and most still believe crypto is a scam there is a lot of sidelined capital looking for things to bid, VCs & smart retail alike the time to make your list of which coins to start buying is now, everything is floored ------ TLDR: Q4 bias: bullish, pullback + OI wipe in October, early bull market but late lev entries dangerous, high conviction spot positions safe highest conviction: PUMP invalidation levels: 74k, 73, .0034, 750, 95 concerns: rates/war/dxy strength”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.3% |
76 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.09 | 58 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“flash crash in september at some point but from higher i don't think we go below these numbers. quote me on it bitcoin:native $74k zcash:native $750 ethereum:native $2,350 solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 $95 hyperliquid:native $73 https://t.co/D8j5a1DCp7”
“flash crash in september at some point but from higher i don't think we go below these numbers. quote me on it bitcoin:native $74k zcash:native $750 ethereum:native $2,350 solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 $95 hyperliquid:native $73 https://t.co/D8j5a1DCp7”
“this month for solana:9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump i think we see a higher lows and higher highs cylinder consolidate consolidate consolidate then it rips only thing 2 assets do: accumulation or an impulse move https://t.co/OpP3b1buhr”
“this month for solana:9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump i think we see a higher lows and higher highs cylinder consolidate consolidate consolidate then it rips only thing 2 assets do: accumulation or an impulse move https://t.co/OpP3b1buhr”
“will flipped bullish on bitcoin right near the bottom mid last year he veered off crypto. new unlocks dumping, no new narratives, stocks and AI were ripping, then a consolidation on gold now he's back bullish on crypto slowly, then all at once https://t.co/a7RNlSD5qx”
“FOCUS https://t.co/MxmcZZ2x4D”
“THE BOTTOM IS IN and we got undeniable confirmation from the majors this week hyperliquid: ALL TIME HIGH zcash: near ath bitcoin: 80k onchain: heating up join the bull 🐂 https://t.co/zhdnKpBnBC”
“@Innerdevcrypto how can you be bullish pengu while saying this at the same time? it is the biggest meme on sol? https://t.co/OsB9HrsLIW”
“teams who select diamond to launch have to buy+burn $100k in $ANSEM before launching, next step is team reaching out to us with all of their info & plans before actually launching the coin that’s the curation part of it, no it is not possible to ensure all coins are successful but it is possible to ensure that all launches who want to market to $ANSEM holders add value to the network by either buying+burning $ANSEM and airdropping portions of their token supply & its much less likely for a team to spend $100k & go through that process if they’re going to rug, but for $ANSEM holders they benefit regardless and can buy more of the diamond tier coins after waiting to see how they do in the market & the marketing teams receive from airdropping coins far outweighs the sell pressure imo, can compare your average launch to anything closely tied to the $ANSEM eco for confirmation of that, 99% of coins top at 30k market cap bullpen nfts & bulltoshi nfts have consistently been top nft projects by volume, & anything mentioned in discord + here on my account gets way more of an attention+volume boost than whatever the sell pressure would be worth I didn’t expect so many people to burn this much $ANSEM so fast tho there’s already been about .1% of the total supply burned, thesis will be much more solidified once there are some coins on the launchpad that are doing really well, we will see over the next month or so but I’m highly confident the thesis will be clear and it’ll generate a lot of additional demand for $ANSEM yes dexscreener is pay to play, but they don’t have a coin, z500 leaderboard being pay to get featured directly accrues value to all $ANSEM holders”
“I AM BACK AND BULLISH ETH devs are shipping actually novel things onchain. that's how bullish i am on crypto now the market moves quickly, have strong convictions, loosely held https://t.co/316Kxssz8o https://t.co/CHkW9iyg7t”
“for all yall asking "when bull market?" here's my take: 3 to 6 months. the lows are ALREADY in. what's left is the boring sideways chop where nobody agrees on anything this is the window. by the time everybody agrees it's a bull market, the discounts are gone https://t.co/5ZcQrAoneW”
“see you at $150 $SOL https://t.co/dzm01dQrdj”
“@3rdeye_crypto $SOL bottom already in imo”
“don't think there has ever been a better opportunity for crypto to show relative strength while ppl are taking profits on ai stock names that are up 50x+ over the past year hyperliquid & lighter all time highs price discovery great start solana onchain metrics ATHs great sign”