@blknoiz06 · coldest nigga breathing | @BullpenFi @MarketBubble
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
19
Top 81% · #15 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
64
1 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
48.4%
31 correct / 33 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.54%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-34.6%
Equal stake on all 64 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-2.50%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (38) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.9% | 75 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −142.2% | 22 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -2.50% | 13 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
147 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“for all yall asking "when bull market?" here's my take: 3 to 6 months. the lows are ALREADY in. what's left is the boring sideways chop where nobody agrees on anything this is the window. by the time everybody agrees it's a bull market, the discounts are gone https://t.co/5ZcQrAoneW”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
81 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.17 | 19 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“@Dior100x it's gonna be insane in this place when sol is at all time highs man”
“@CryptoUB lets go”
“i said similarly about robinhood when the stock was trading around $8 at the bottom bc i was mad they delisted solana at the lows, ended up buying at $14 when i realized my negative bias was probably consensus & actually a bullish catalyst if they continued to execute as a platform if pump's revenue numbers are real & price is down bc ppl dont believe the numbers & bc they dont trust team, then its an asymmetric buying opportunity, especially if they actually start listening to the community bc theyll fix the trust issues and their revenue numbers would also likely improve, it trades at like 2x p/e while hype trades at like 20x p/e letting your emotions get in the way of a trade is how you lose money + $ANSEM is the largest coin on pump, & the more ppl using their app the more ppl who also likely end up buying $ANSEM”
“got absolutely smoked on this btw, not great sign for the rest of these $1T IPOs coming down the pipe rest of the year will keep tracking it and wait for signs of bottom to form but in no rush to get back in this atm $SPCX https://t.co/w3P8xrBdDE”
“bought $PUMP here on the reclaim of old support @ .001675 thesis: making 30-40M a month during bear market for onchain, believe that $SOL will dominate retail activity again this cycle and https://t.co/1Sc1wp6gLc will be most likely beneficiary of this activity if that happens hard for me to believe that they don't see the opportunity in front of them by providing a stimulus package to the trenches w/ the airdrop, especially given historical precedent of how Jito & Jupiter jumpstarted onchain activity in late 2023, if they do airdrop 300M+ then volumes/attention/activity should improve meaningfully regularly competing w/ hyperliquid & polymarket for most profitable crypto protocol also just hard for me to believe that they don't want the token to do well as they own a meaningful amount of it which just started unlocking & their entire business is centered around allowing retail to speculate on tokenization invalidation at lows during unlock selloff around .0014”
“incredibly important for budding startups that are aligning token w/ equity through @MetaDAOProject & finding traction on @solana to do well will add credibility to the thesis of solana becoming the decentralized YC of the entire internet at scale, this is how $SOL hits new ATHs https://t.co/h2T87tMdzi”
“solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 | Solana Market Analysis | Weekly/Daily/Hourly 1W: been stuck in range of weekly candle from first week of February for five months now, range lows 67.5 range highs 106 failed to breakdown during high volume selloff + peak fear last month & reclaimed range, now retesting key weekly resistance level 81.5-88 1D: volume profile of the range shows majority of the action has happened between 78-92, w/ POC around 85, close to where we topped out at on this rally, the inefficient down move from 83 to 60 has been fully filled, on daily believe closes through June highs @ 83 would push us back to range highs, usually when you fail to breakout to one side of the range and reclaim you end up retesting the opposite side of the range am betting on us forming a higher low here in the mid 70s but believe price action will be choppy until we cleanly trade above the topside of this range > 106 good place to accumulate spot position for long term with weekly dollar cost avg buys, inval if we lose the lows from June 1H: retesting low TF demand at beginning of Q3 before breaking mtf range to upside, believe good spot to look for longs 72-75 w/ invals < 71 going into next week expecting retest of 83-85, extended targets 106 & then 150+ later in Q3”
“solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 | Solana Market Analysis | Weekly/Daily/Hourly 1W: been stuck in range of weekly candle from first week of February for five months now, range lows 67.5 range highs 106 failed to breakdown during high volume selloff + peak fear last month & reclaimed range, now retesting key weekly resistance level 81.5-88 1D: volume profile of the range shows majority of the action has happened between 78-92, w/ POC around 85, close to where we topped out at on this rally, the inefficient down move from 83 to 60 has been fully filled, on daily believe closes through June highs @ 83 would push us back to range highs, usually when you fail to breakout to one side of the range and reclaim you end up retesting the opposite side of the range am betting on us forming a higher low here in the mid 70s but believe price action will be choppy until we cleanly trade above the topside of this range > 106 good place to accumulate spot position for long term with weekly dollar cost avg buys, inval if we lose the lows from June 1H: retesting low TF demand at beginning of Q3 before breaking mtf range to upside, believe good spot to look for longs 72-75 w/ invals < 71 going into next week expecting retest of 83-85, extended targets 106 & then 150+ later in Q3”
“most great traders wait for price to CONFIRM momentum i try to predict the bottom before it's clear the bottom is in. that's the difference by the time sol reclaims 100 and bitcoin reclaims 80K, the easy money's gone https://t.co/Jn6Gp1wQYT”
“@ITS_C4__ it's gonna get real nuts when solana is back over $100 in a few weeks”
“if im right on this & memory does not sustain the pump post $MU earnings then Q3 is going to be red and we will get discounts to buy everything, confirmed on price action beneath the lows pre-ER around $1050 mag7 still weak and still trapped in the loop of spending infinite while open source models improve for much cheaper believe good spot to be derisking if you are up fat over the past year as stuff is up legit 100x might be overly optimistic on the crypto side of things assuming feb lows hold on BTC & SOL, wrong if weeklies & monthlies close beneath $60k / $60 & they would likely haircut -30%+ from breaking those lows if you dont want to take chance of breakdown beneath lows, you can derisk positions & wait for strength above $66k & $80 on weekly close which is likely when uptrend resumed on both, dont need to give this recommendation to active traders as they'll respond to pa in real time but am aware that most are not doing that so much more difficult to respond quickly miss about 20% of upside for a higher hit rate trade”