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@blknoiz06 · coldest nigga breathing | @BullpenFi @MarketBubble
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
25
Top 75% · #14 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
65
1 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
55.2%
16 correct / 13 incorrect · 36 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.35%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-22.8%
Equal stake on all 65 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-2.40%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (35) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.5% | 63 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −142.2% | 22 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -2.40% | 13 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
148 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@insomniacxbt btc/xxx pairs are going to do well imo”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
78 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.16 | 19 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“i'm leaning toward a more aggressive bull market than most people are expecting a lot of crypto natives were waiting for the usual four-year cycle to play out, but the market may be getting driven by a different group of buyers this time traditional finance is starting to treat BTC as a long-term portfolio allocation, while profitable crypto businesses are attracting attention beyond the usual crypto crowd if institutional capital keeps flowing into both BTC and onchain businesses, i think there's room for this cycle to surprise people on the upside”
“80k key support level stop run + retest $1B in longs liquidated cpi + ppi extremely bad & no bearish follow through, + bond yields *down* anthropic rev numbers have nothing to do w/ btc pain trade is up, nobody holds any bitcoin https://t.co/xl09ohBCRY”
“am highly convicted in $BTC face ripper rally believe crypto natives currently have lowest conviction in this asset that theyve had in past ~decade one of only assets not correlated to complex ai trade & govt cash will need to fund ai buildout + inflation still sticky”
“memory top mags bottom purely off vibes & charts, but im sure there will be some fundamental analysts who provide substantive reasoning for this shift in the next few months said a few weeks ago thought memory bottom was in, think that is wrong now, was expecting HL into ATHs aug 2025: $META $760 $MU $100 oct 2026: $META $760 $MU $940”
“@umar_xbt up, up a lot”
“long $BTC entry: $82k stop: $74.6k target: ATHs https://t.co/nm039lKNjv”
“i’m viewing this pullback as a potential spot to add to high-conviction positions BTC recently tested the yearly open around $87.5k before pulling back toward $81.7k $75k is the key level i’m watching on the downside, while reclaiming $87.5k would strengthen the bullish setup rates and geopolitical tensions remain the biggest macro risks here as long as the structure holds, i’m more interested in accumulating through the volatility”
“stone bottom https://t.co/hk7VfjT7Qc”
“stone bottom https://t.co/hk7VfjT7Qc”
“onchain bottomed first, majors did not move until after, coins going from 0-> few hundred million in few weeks will always result in a 75-80% drawdown & consolidation afterwards, next leg up will be led by majors & cex alts btc/hype/zec/pump etc, which will increase retail interest & continued traction of mobile apps will lead to the next leg higher for onchain coins, believe pump at all time highs will be great catalyst for higher ceilings for onchain coins”
“another reason why i am so bullish bitcoin here last cycle it did not even make a new ATH against gold, if you believe in the thesis that $BTC is the best form of digital hard money then the gap between $BTC & $XAU is going to continue to close gold is $30T, btc is $1.7T & the closer this gap gets the more it makes sense for governments to hold bitcoin on their balance sheets the same way they do with gold”
“ai16z walked so virtual could run so $imd could fly https://t.co/MEt9tOJxcg”
“@ParallelAiRev they ignored me when i flipped bullish eth but now they see the vision, multi-cycle dev shipping novel tech at intersection of ai x crypto x speculation, will always get bid by the eth whales”
“@andyyy 10T is first target for bitcoin”