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@fundstrat · CIO Fundstrat Capital @FundstratCap $GRNY $GRNJ| Research @fundstratdirect | @CNBC FT contr. | Chairman Bitmine @BitMNR $BMNR $BMNP | Wikipedia: https://t.co/8QsXKpzGT7
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
61
Top 39% · #9 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
18
0 pending · 9 unresolved
Hit rate
27.3%
3 correct / 8 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+4.65%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+83.8%
Equal stake on all 18 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+5.06%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (62) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 26.2% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −6.5% | 70 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +5.06% | 97 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
7 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Markets on “hold” today until FOMC rate decision at 2:15pm ET 1. if Fed raises, markets expected - Future cuts likely get removed, - 10-yr yield likely drops = stocks rally 2. If Fed “holds” - dovish surprise, even if hawkish talk - markets focus on hold regime underway = stocks rally We think most likely path is a rally post-2:15pm ET @FundstratDirect @FundstratCap @BitMNR $BMNR $BMNP”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 37.0% |
12 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 3.89 | 100 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“@Micro2Macr0 @FundstratDirect @BitMNR agree with this... upside breakout seems most probable”
“Agree with @HHorsley here Fundamentals are pulling away because investors got burned on the Oct 10 massive deleveraging It’s just a matter of time $ETH $BTC https://t.co/eSD5mhKsdW”
“Agree with @HHorsley here Fundamentals are pulling away because investors got burned on the Oct 10 massive deleveraging It’s just a matter of time $ETH $BTC https://t.co/eSD5mhKsdW”
“Love this take from @SeanMFarrell on Clarity Act odds of passage: - his convos with policymakers show higher odds than seen in prediction markets - "recent restrictions" prevent insiders from trading on this outcome Hence, @Polymarket and @Kalshi markets likely underestimate odds of passage PS: This is bullish @FundstratDirect @FundstratCap @BitMNR $BMNR $BMNP $ETH”
“We remain bullish near-term so we are buying the pullback in Semis, Memory and momentum $MTUM $DRAM $SMH - the structural AI story intact = upside to EPS Great speaking with @MorganLBrennan on @CNBCMorningCall @@FundstratDirect @FundstratCap @BitMNR $BMNR $BMNP Morning Call Sheet: AI trade, tech rotation and oil keep markets on edge https://t.co/A4tekhXRrC”
“2/ As Oil rose in the past 6 weeks, ETH prices have fallen: - Oil price is inverted (higher prices = downward) Thus, oil reversing = ETH prices recovering https://t.co/3kwQzlp7QC”