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@notthreadguy · i go live at 8:30am est. working on @counterpartytv | @phantom @polymarket
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 11 more calls to rank
Scored calls
4
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
1 correct / 2 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.15%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+0.6%
Equal stake on all 4 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.18%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (32) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 25% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 19.9% | 19 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −1.1% | 62 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.18% | 31 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
1 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@tulipking @botblastcap it’s fun to agree with tulip king when you have the same coins, really fun. sol to $2”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 60.0% |
35 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.37 | 23 | 25% |
30 days · 1h