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@notthreadguy · i go live at 8:30am est. working on @counterpartytv | @phantom @polymarket
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
98
Top 2% · #1 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
23
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
78.6%
11 correct / 3 incorrect · 9 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.33%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+7.6%
Equal stake on all 23 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.28%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (84) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 4% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 74.7% | 100 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −1.1% | 94 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.28% | 76 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
11 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@tulipking @botblastcap it’s fun to agree with tulip king when you have the same coins, really fun. sol to $2”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 63.0% |
52 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.67 | 94 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“would make sense if bitcoin never ticks green ever again after that”
“bitcoin is about to start printing green candles nobody thought was possible anymore https://t.co/0cziXuxG6F”
“@amitisinvesting hood as leveraged btc (but only to the upside)”
“but absolutely zero chance we go up, it is impossible, zero. no way. because of “reasons””
“bitcoin is the only trump asset down from where he started shilling. saylor capitulating into americas buys would make a poetic bottom https://t.co/tTO1mnvZjD”
“best way to express this is micron calls”
“micron is worth more than bitcoin https://t.co/M2cSHtscbw”
“LIVE: Bitcoin To ZERO!!! Quantum IPO Is CRAZY! Can Trump Save Us?! SpaceX! AAAAAAA JOIN on twitch to chat link below https://t.co/KErnKZ7wiM”
“we should all just long bitcoin for the bit why not”
“raging bull market in the few coins that actually matter. flows consolidate. bitcoin staircases higher. saylor sells and nothing happens. the rest of the trash continues to be trash. btc dominance down only. why not”