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@notthreadguy · i go live at 8:30am est. working on @counterpartytv | @phantom @polymarket
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
25
Top 75% · #14 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
15
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
42.9%
3 correct / 4 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.26%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+3.9%
Equal stake on all 15 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.35%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (43) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 7% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 43.8% | 47 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −7.7% | 88 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.35% | 28 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 84.6% |
59 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.16 | 19 | 25% |
90 days · 24h