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@notthreadguy · i go live at 8:30am est. working on @counterpartytv | @phantom @polymarket
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
36
Top 64% · #12 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
15
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
40.0%
2 correct / 3 incorrect · 10 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.68%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-10.2%
Equal stake on all 15 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.82%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (44) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 7% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.1% | 44 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −37.8% | 69 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.82% | 44 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
2 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@tulipking @botblastcap it’s fun to agree with tulip king when you have the same coins, really fun. sol to $2”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 76.9% |
50 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.15 | 25 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“@amitisinvesting hood as leveraged btc (but only to the upside)”