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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
16
Top 84% · #19 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
140
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.7%
71 correct / 69 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.03%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-3.7%
Equal stake on all 140 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.05%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (33) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 49.8% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −10.8% | 39 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.05% | 12 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
324 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed above the orange level which means the focus turns to the following point: Is the orange level weakening as support? In June, BTC rebounded almost +6% If this current bounce is lesser, the orange level could breakdown on future revisit $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.4% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.11 | 9 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“#BTC Here's a nuanced point for Bitcoin in the context of the 200-week SMA (orange): Bitcoin Weekly Closed marginally below the 200 SMA Which could mean the 200 SMA could act as resistance, especially if price fails to reclaim it this week as support on lower timeframes $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“The $USDC Dominance retest is successful thus far On the cusp of confirming a new Macro Uptrend which would mean Crypto would become Macro Risk-Off again #BTC $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/Su5uK27Jjj https://t.co/zZ89G8TbTE”
“#BTC It has been confirmed The 50-Month EMA continues to act as resistance Continued rejection from the 50 EMA would set price up for downside continuation over time $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/JovDIqyjUn https://t.co/TaXqMNX4xo”
“#BTC The new Bitcoin Monthly Close is in and the July Candle comes in at +14.5%, with a decent portion of it ending up as an upside wick Going forward, lesser and lesser rallies would be a continued sign of weakening support at $60k $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/J6loerS3uV https://t.co/Hu8UEadXjI”
“#BTC The multi-week Lower High (black) keeps resisting price and has forced a Monthly Close below $66000 A Weekly Close below the orange level - whether sooner or later - would probably set price up to dive deeper in the blue range $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/k9qGbOjRjU https://t.co/aRuuiyfr4N”
“#BTC The 50-Month EMA (purple) continues to reject Bitcoin as we approach the new month of August It's likely price will try to maintain these highs in the early stages of August but history suggests price could rollover just like it did in 2022 $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/vhqur4GL4j https://t.co/TaXqMNX4xo”
“#BTC Bitcoin has reached the 50 Month EMA (purple) as anticipated last month And now Bitcoin is on the cusp of confirming the 50-Month EMA as resistance Current price action still following 2022 tendencies closely $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/lgh6Y3dFpx https://t.co/5JhfpTAvtn”
“#BTC That multi-week Lower High (black) is starting to convincingly resist price More, a Lower High in the upside wicks has developed as well The Monthly Close is just days away And if that Monthly Close occurs below $66000 then that would confirm this general region as a major higher timeframe resistance to likely reject price into Red August $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC If you believe the Bitcoin Bear Market bottom is in already... That means you believe some of the following: - The Bear Market has shortened to just 73% of the usual time it takes for Bitcoin to bottom - That there has been a drastic shallowing across Bear Market corrections by ~23% (whereas the historical difference in shallowing across Bear Cycles has been up to ~10%) Effectively, the belief of "the Bear Market bottom is already in" assumes an invalidation of certain long-standing principles in Bitcoin market cycles which is probabilistically unlikely until proven otherwise (i.e. via price breach of Macro Lower Highs) $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Most top indicators failed in outlining where Bitcoin would peak in its Bull Market Most indicators will probably fail in outlining where Bitcoin could bottom in its Bear Market $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The seller volume continues to flood in Meanwhile, price is still hovering beneath the confluent resistance that are the February/March lows (blue) and the emerging Lower High (black) More, Bitcoin is experiencing price compression due to price being sandwiched between the 200-week SMA (orange) and aforementioned resistances Continued price compression here is unsustainable and will eventually force major volatility And if the seller volume keeps coming in at this rate, then there'll likely be a breakout on seller volume to precede a rejection from this local resistance area $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to experience resistance at the ~$65500 level (blue) as the Weekly Close slowly approaches In fact, Bitcoin may be developing a new multi-week Lower High on price (black) More, the declining buy-side volume has actually now shifted into more seller-oriented volume for the week The more seller-dominant the volume becomes while Bitcoin is at resistance, the greater the chances for a rejection from here $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to reject from the 50-Month EMA (purple) Bitcoin hasn't really offered any evidence to the contrary Still following 2022 historical tendencies $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/SU6LHiu6Xx https://t.co/lzyma7Z5cQ”
“#BTC Bitcoin will likely Monthly Close below the 50-Month EMA if Bitcoin: - Continues to fail to reclaim the February/March lows (blue) as support - Keeps experiencing declining buy-side volume $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/tEpDiX2iGr”