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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 2 more calls to rank
Scored calls
13
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
2 correct / 2 incorrect · 9 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.05%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+0.6%
Equal stake on all 13 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+0.09%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (78) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 67.8% | 92 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.9% | 100 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.09% | 58 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
2 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin has successfully post-breakout retested its Macro Downtrend into new support In doing so, it is technically transitioning from Downtrend into new Macro Uptrend All Bitcoin needs to do going forward is to stay above the Downtrend and/or retest it as support if any deeper pullbacks take place Historically, Bitcoin has more often transitioned into post-breakout Re-Accumulation Ranges (e.g. 2019 & 2023) than gone for Downtrend retests (i.e. 2015) Of course probabilistically, there's a higher chance of Bitcoin developing a newfound post-breakout Re-Accumulation Range in the future in what is technically shaping up to be an early-stage Bull Market but it's worth keeping an open mind to both scenarios After all, since breaking the Macro Downtrend, future pullbacks are likely to take place in the context of Bull Market retracements Which significantly alters the risk side of the equation as opposed to risk in Bear Market Relief Rallies as downside during Bull Market pullbacks tend to be limited before further upside is confirmed $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
73 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 77 | 25% |
30 days · 1h
“#BTC Bitcoin has officially broken to new Macro Higher Highs, invalidating the series of Macro Lower Highs that persisted since October 2025 When a Macro Downtrend ends, a new Macro Uptrend begins $BTC #Bitcoin”