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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
16
Top 84% · #19 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
142
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
71 correct / 71 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.07%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+9.3%
Equal stake on all 142 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.03%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (44) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.5% | 58 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −33.9% | 55 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.03% | 18 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
326 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin is rejecting from the base of the Macro Triangle $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/XPuTdoCxtR https://t.co/YVb7MXZ7YJ”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.02 | 27 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“The $USDC Dominance is successful thus far Meanwhile #BTC's momentum appears to have stalled $BTC #USDC #Bitcoin https://t.co/2QGmfksvNQ https://t.co/7Eor1Zozqs”
“#BTC History suggests the low at $60,000 wasn't the Bear Market bottom $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin finally Weekly Closed below the top of the red area, confirming that price will be consolidating within the CME Gap until further notice $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/uZf1Qw4nMS https://t.co/UKNyoHFVut”
“#BTC Bitcoin is slowly dipping towards the 21-week EMA (green) $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/VHWGrGDmo2 https://t.co/FX7CC2aUg8”
“The $USDC Dominance retest is now in progress If 2022 history repeats, the USDC Dominance retest will be successful to precede trend continuation to the upside over time #BTC #USDC #Bitcoin https://t.co/NxFPt1JwEs https://t.co/7Eor1Zozqs”
“Bitcoin and Its Weakening Support #BTC $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/FJvQ7YfjE8”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to hover above the 21-week EMA (green) But by Bitcoin Weekly Closing below the CME Gap top (~$82500), price is saying it isn't ready to pursue higher levels for the moment Which means price may therefore be forced into another retest of the 21-week EMA (green) in the future $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Close beneath the top of the Weekly CME Gap Thus, this level will continue to figure as resistance for now This also means price could be sentenced to additional consolidation between the bottom & top levels of the CME Gap $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/Disjv115Z3 https://t.co/UKNyoHFVut”
“The $USDC Dominance retest is now in progress #BTC #USDC #Bitcoin https://t.co/0TcEAfacPd https://t.co/7Eor1Zozqs”
“#BTC Bitcoin has managed to successfully retest the 21-week EMA (green) at least momentarily, enabling this recent move up But that move through this resistance area hasn't been very sustainable thus far, which opens up the possibility for yet another retest of the 21-week EMA going forward Bitcoin needs to successfully retest the 21 EMA once again to avoid completely rejecting from this general resistance area (red) and dropping into the mid-$70,000s $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to spend time between these two Macro EMAs Bitcoin indeed produced a relief rally from the 50-Month EMA (purple) to reach the green 21-Month EMA which is where price could be falling short If history repeats, Bitcoin could reject from here to then breakdown from the purple 50-Month EMA into additional Bearish Acceleration over time $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin is now really pressing into the base of the Macro Triangle History suggests the base of the Triangle in confluence with the Macro Downtrend have acted as a major resistance area for Bitcoin at similar moments in previous market cycles $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/2lI9ZFm0rK https://t.co/PuKBtOTeOJ”
“#BTC When Bitcoin rallied to new All Time Highs in 2024, it experienced a double catalyst: the ETF and the Halving These were major factors that influenced Bitcoin to accelerate in its cycle by 260 days However over the course of the Bull Market, Bitcoin found a way to reduce that acceleration to 0, resynchronising with traditional Four Year Cycles when it peaked in October 2025 Now there is a popular narrative that the Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom is in already, but that would suggest that Bitcoin is accelerating in its Bear Cycle by some ~240 days, similar to the 2024 260-day acceleration in the Bull Run This implies at least a few things: 1. Just like the Halving 2024 wasn't the final top in the cycle, this supposed Bear Market Bottom probably isn't the final bottom in the cycle 2. To prompt Cycle Acceleration, there needs to be a marked catalyst, akin to the double-ETF/Halving catalyst in 2024. Are there truly any current catalyst powerful enough to shorten the Bear Cycle to just a 1/3 of the usual time? 3. Whatever acceleration Bitcoin manages in this Bear Cycle will probably be reduced to 0 by the time the Bear Market actually ends. This reduction could occur by virtue another deep retrace but crucially followed by a time-wasting extended consolidation period. $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC If you think Bitcoin has already bottomed in its Bear Market then you’re advocating for Bitcoin finishing its Bear Market in just 1/3 of the usual time $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”