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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 2 more calls to rank
Scored calls
13
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
30.0%
3 correct / 7 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
-0.25%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
-3.3%
Equal stake on all 13 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.28%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (44) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 29.4% | 15 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −8.6% | 85 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.28% | 33 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed below ~$82200 Technically, this now positions price for a bearish retest of this level into new resistance Bitcoin would need to reclaim this level on the lower timeframes to start removing the bearish bias instilled by this latest Weekly Candle Close This level represented the May 2026 highs (red circle) and a key level for upside continuation in early 2025 (green circle), rendering it a pivotal reaction point for price $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
74 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.12 | 33 | 25% |
30 days · 24h
“#BTC Bitcoin has Monthly Closed above ~$82500 for September Which means Bitcoin will likely try to retest this level into new support this month A successful retest there could set up the next trend continuation History suggests this retest could get messy but let's take it one level at a time and not look too far ahead $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC It's always very tempting to just assume Bitcoin will go on and produce -30% pullbacks in Bull Markets After all, deeper pullbacks afford better prices for entries But it's not about the pullback depth we desire but about the pullback depth that is reasonably probable based on where Bitcoin is in the cycle Take the previous 2022-2025 cycle: Bitcoin only saw over -30% retraces in the Post-Halving period Pre-Halving retraces were much shallower, just over -20% each time Early-stage Bull Markets offer shallow pullbacks but those pullbacks are great opportunities for the long-run $BTC #Bitcoin”