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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
8
Top 92% · #17 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
78
13 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
19.2%
15 correct / 63 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-9.88%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-770.6%
Equal stake on all 78 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-10.33%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (14) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 44% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 15.1% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −770.6% | 6 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -10.33% | 3 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
163 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC The game plan is now under way Bitcoin is currently relief rallying towards the 50-Month EMA (purple) in an effort to fully confirm the breakdown In other words, Bitcoin is repeating price action from the Bear Market Summer of 2022 $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/hJKvYORoy1 https://t.co/5JhfpTAvtn”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
84 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.95 | 0 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“#BTC Welcome to green July $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/4q1NqiM3p8 https://t.co/8jT5fusiAW”
“2022 $USDC Dominance history has repeated... The green circled retest has been successful, enabling upside and thus Macro Risk-Off behaviour from investors since May, negatively impacting BTC's price since then After all, Bitcoin's price was at ~$74000 in May and most recently price dropped into $58000 More, USDC Dominance has Monthly Closed above its Macro Downtrend (red), on the cusp of confirming a new Macro Uptrend To fully confirm the breakout, USDC Dominance will be dipping into the Downtrend as part of a post-breakout retest During this period of downside, Bitcoin's price will likely enjoy a relief rally (green July) However once the USDC Dominance post-breakout retest of the Macro Downtrend is complete, upside for USDC Dom will once again emerge and Bitcoin's price will drop in response #BTC $BTC #USDC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Red June Green July Red August This is what Bitcoin price history suggests Bitcoin could possibly see some downside wicking below the new Monthly Open in early July But history suggests price should be able expand to the upside as the month progresses $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has officially dropped to new lows for the year of 2026 Which means Bitcoin is now deviating -16% below its 2021 old All Time Highs in this current 2026 Bear Market Getting closer and closer to the -22% deviation below 2017 old All Time Highs from the 2022 Bear Market Even with this recent additional downside, history suggests there's still time left to go and room for extra downside $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC With the new June Monthly Close just around the corner... It's becoming increasingly likely that Bitcoin will close below the 50-Month EMA and likely bearish retest it into new resistance in July and reject in August This cycle has repeated 2022 tendencies very closely thus far and looks like that will continue throughout the Summer $BTC #Bitcoin”
“Here's Why Bitcoin Could Crash Lower #BTC $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/CQJ5Rl2GW3”
“There's no need to panic Flowers need rain to grow Bitcoin needs downside to enable future upside #BTC $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC This is still the game plan for the rest of the Summer Once June Monthly Closes, we'll know from which price July will be able to potentially spring into a post-breakdown relief rally Macro-wise, this is still looking very 2022-esque whereby any relief would see the 50-Month EMA (purple) turn into new resistance $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin is already slipping below the red support once again, after mustering a very weak +1.5% bounce Daily Close below the red area and/or followed by a bearish retest from the underside would likely kickstart the breakdown process $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/zNcNa8F9hO https://t.co/nvlBd7xEHh”
“#BTC February lows have been confirmed as new resistance A new Weekly Close below $63.2k would likely confirm another set of new Lower Highs $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/HFDnawhviN https://t.co/5vIevifrYR”
“@Truecrypto Agreed. Though even if somehow BTC Monthly Closes above the 50M EMA, price would still likely form another Lower High before a potential breakdown from the EMA”
“#BTC At this stage, if June Monthly Closes just like this at $62k then that would confirm the breakdown from the 50-Month EMA So it July turns into a green month, then that could see price turn the 50 EMA into new resistance Then August would cancel out July and send Bitcoin into downside continuation $BTC #Bitcoin”