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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
29
Top 71% · #9 of 12 ranked
Scored calls
24
13 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
9.5%
2 correct / 19 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-6.09%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-146.1%
Equal stake on all 24 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-6.05%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (18) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 42% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 9.3% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −146.1% | 17 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -6.05% | 17 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin is indeed rebounding right into the most recently lost old support of ~$78300, potentially as part of turning it into new resistance Turning this level into new resistance would confirm the breakdown that the latest Weekly Close kickstarted Invalidation starts with a reclaim of ~$78300 back into support $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 80.0% |
69 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.46 | 3 | 25% |
30 days · 30d
“#BTC Bitcoin has dropped into ~$78300 (blue) for a retest attempt The retest is now in progress Earlier this year (red circle), Bitcoin initially enjoyed a successful retest here but ultimately rejected from $82.5k to enter a retrace Ultimately, a Weekly Close below $78300 followed by a bearish retest just like in early May would likely confirm a breakdown $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The reality is that even if the Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom was in already... Then any deeper pullback into a new Macro Higher Low would confirm that Which would allow to build entries at prices not much higher than the absolute bottom And if you build entries there, those entries will outperform 95-99% of investors over the course of the entire Bitcoin cycle More, the Macro Higher Low would offer slight premium prices compared to the absolute bottom but at least that premium is the cost of buying on confirmation You don't need to buy the absolute Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom to do well in a Bull Cycle bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”