Loading…
@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
11
Top 89% · #20 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
136
4 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
44.9%
61 correct / 75 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
-1.23%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
-167.0%
Equal stake on all 136 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-1.50%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (23) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 32% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 43.6% | 21 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −213.8% | 18 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.50% | 12 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
324 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin is slipping from the ~$63k level (orange) after having produced lesser and lesser rallies from here in recent weeks A Weekly Close below the orange level would probably set price up for a breakdown $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/RgsNIGcE6L https://t.co/VPo7PMrVZu”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.29 | 0 | 25% |
All time · 7d
“#BTC It's officially Red August $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/CU1NCC87vy https://t.co/SoubvhtxCx”
“#BTC Bitcoin would enjoy aggressive buy-back at the 200-week SMA in July but that aggression is no longer evident this month Which ties in with what I mentioned 1.5 months ago: "The SMA could act as support in the short-term to enable limited upside relief this July before failing as support mid-term" Bitcoin indeed enjoyed support in the short-term from 200-week SMA in July but it appears that support is faltering this August $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The volume is worth noting as well Last week's Weekly Candle occurred on below-average buy-side volume but has been almost completely cancelled on by noticeably lesser seller volume Sellers can move the price by the same amount but on less volume $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/c9jZVUSQK9 https://t.co/NvZHxEEyQk”
“@traveler0x It’s obvious BTC would eclipse a -30% pullback in a bear market sir”
“#BTC Bitcoin is on the cusp of turning an unusual, slightly positive August into what has historically been the usual colour for August in Bear Markets... Red $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Throughout the first 3 weeks of July, Bitcoin enjoyed upside from the orange level Only for that upside to get fully retraced at the end of July But still, upside lasted 3 weeks even if it got erased in just 1 week What's happened now is that 1 week of upside last week has been erased in only three days this week The strength and sustainability of buy-side pressure is waning and the sellers are arriving sooner $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The progressively weakening support at ~$63k (orange) is clear 6.27% --> 5.83% --> 3.18% --> and now 1.15% thus far At some point the bounces will become so weak that the floor will simply break $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/muFx2DZMvI https://t.co/y5DDSyAtdL”
“#BTC There we go - Bitcoin has dropped into orange And there's a strong possibility this bounce will be a weaker one, as per my earlier post "Should BTC drop into the orange level, it's likely that any bounce would be weaker than the one from last week" $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/BTSdMJeWK0 https://t.co/nr3VJgufJe”
“#BTC Bitcoin has already retraced the majority of last week's candle-bodied move, which puts the orange level in an increasingly tough spot to continue acting as support The orange level may very well be weakening as a level of buy-side interest $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/E6uNNmaBag https://t.co/nr3VJgufJe”
“Data science metrics for #BTC suggest that Bitcoin has only grazed the very surface of "undervalued territory" But if history suggests Bitcoin can become more of a bargain over the next couple of months $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin is starting to pullback a little more strongly Should BTC drop into the orange level, it's likely that any bounce would be weaker than the one from last week The orange level is getting weaker and may be in trouble $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/gpN63UQgGX https://t.co/5enmYfcWgk”
“#BTC Bitcoin is less than -2% away from flipping into a Red August Monthly Candle $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/CAsVgH3MjR https://t.co/Q9CN0Cijzd”
“#BTC It is early in the week so this could still change, but... The aggression in FOMO buying at this Lower High has been much lesser compared to previous attempts (blue circle) Bitcoin would produce long upside wicks in mid-June and mid-July (blue circles) Whereas this/last week produced no FOMO wick thus far The aggression in FOMO-buying at the Lower High resistance is much more tame The confidence and belief in this Lower High finally breaking is decreasing $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin rejecting from the Lower High already means that price was only able to produce a +3.3% bounce from the orange level of support This orange level may be weakening as a demand area because the rebounds have been consistently weakening from here $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/j1uZu7fjGZ https://t.co/XylrgaBe0c”