@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 2 more calls to rank
Scored calls
13
5 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
0.0%
0 correct / 6 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg return / call
-4.39%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-57.0%
Equal stake on all 13 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-3.08%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (18) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 38% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 0.0% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −60.8% | 28 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -3.08% | 17 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
36 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC The upcoming Weekly Candle Close for Bitcoin could very well be decisive Weekly Close below the ~$82500 level could set price up for a bearish retest of that level to potentially build out a Right Shoulder within the $60k-$80k Macro Range ~$82500 is the transitional price point that will dictate where Bitcoin will build out its next market structure $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 80.0% |
52 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.43 | 7 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“#BTC The Bitcoin EMA Crossover of the purple 50-week and green 21-week EMAs is getting closer and is likely due to occur over the next several weeks But even after such Crossovers, Bitcoin would still have the capacity for a early-stage Bull Market pullback In fact, in 2023 Bitcoin deviated below the two EMAs to form a pullback bottom (blue box) after the Crossover occurred (orange circle) If history repeats, Bitcoin could deviate below the two EMAs once again in search of a pullback bottom $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC "~$82500 needs to hold continually as support for bullish bias and to avoid mean reversion into the $60k-$80k Range" $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/QyFDJe3y0P https://t.co/oLPus1leNS”
“#BTC Interestingly, the two EMAs (purple 50-week EMA & green 21-week EMA) are converging and slowly building confluence in the mid- to high $70,000s Over time, this confluence will occur at higher prices given the dynamic nature of the EMAs More, a Golden Cross is set to occur over the next several weeks Historically, whenever a pullback has taken place into the two EMAs in early Bull Markets, the pullback bottom would not be too far off, especially whenever deviations below the EMAs would occur After all, successful retesting of the two EMAs in new Bull Markets has sustained bullish momentum for price $BTC #Bitcoin”
“$LIT - Lighter In the absence of bullish confirmation via a Weekly Close above the red Range High resistance... Lighter was always going to remain range-bound here (black square) As a result, additional consolidation to as low as the Range Low is a possibility #BTC #LIT #Lighter”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Monthly Closed above ~$82500 for September Which means Bitcoin will likely try to retest this level into new support this month A successful retest there could set up the next trend continuation History suggests this retest could get messy but let's take it one level at a time and not look too far ahead $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The crucial retest appears to be successful thus far (black circle) Bitcoin will need to continue to demonstrate stability above the lows $80,000s if it wants to remain positioned for additional trend continuation to the upside over time Loss of that stability would see price revert into the $60k-$80k Macro Range for additional consolidation there $BTC #Bitcoin”
“@Joseph_Beir This one? https://t.co/gNMVgY55JN”
“#BTC It's always very tempting to just assume Bitcoin will go on and produce -30% pullbacks in Bull Markets After all, deeper pullbacks afford better prices for entries But it's not about the pullback depth we desire but about the pullback depth that is reasonably probable based on where Bitcoin is in the cycle Take the previous 2022-2025 cycle: Bitcoin only saw over -30% retraces in the Post-Halving period Pre-Halving retraces were much shallower, just over -20% each time Early-stage Bull Markets offer shallow pullbacks but those pullbacks are great opportunities for the long-run $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC ~$82500 for Bitcoin right now is the crucial level to reclaim into a new support because of its prior significance as a resistance on the Bear Market Relief Rally earlier this year $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/fLe9rakuUi”
“#BTC Bitcoin has successfully post-breakout retested its Macro Downtrend into new support In doing so, it is technically transitioning from Downtrend into new Macro Uptrend All Bitcoin needs to do going forward is to stay above the Downtrend and/or retest it as support if any deeper pullbacks take place Historically, Bitcoin has more often transitioned into post-breakout Re-Accumulation Ranges (e.g. 2019 & 2023) than gone for Downtrend retests (i.e. 2015) Of course probabilistically, there's a higher chance of Bitcoin developing a newfound post-breakout Re-Accumulation Range in the future in what is technically shaping up to be an early-stage Bull Market but it's worth keeping an open mind to both scenarios After all, since breaking the Macro Downtrend, future pullbacks are likely to take place in the context of Bull Market retracements Which significantly alters the risk side of the equation as opposed to risk in Bear Market Relief Rallies as downside during Bull Market pullbacks tend to be limited before further upside is confirmed $BTC #Bitcoin”
“In #BTC Bull Markets you’re always one -10% to -30% pullback away from a great entry And if such a retrace were to occur in the near future then there’s a good chance Bitcoin would revisit prices not very, very far away from the $58k lows You don’t have to buy the absolute lows to do well in a Bitcoin Bull Market After all, the very few who manage to buy the absolute lows may also mistime the Bull Market top and sell too early The aim is to capture the majority of the trend and the key going forward will be to buy on any deeper future pullbacks $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has officially broken to new Macro Higher Highs, invalidating the series of Macro Lower Highs that persisted since October 2025 When a Macro Downtrend ends, a new Macro Uptrend begins $BTC #Bitcoin”
“ethereum:0xe28b3b32b6c345a34ff64674606124dd5aceca30 Injective continues its rally to now over +80%, revisiting the light blue circled highs Historically, this is where INJ had built out a previous re-accumulation range So as long as INJ maintains itself around these highs (ideally via a Monthly Close inside the blue boxed region)... Then INJ will be positioned to build out yet another re-accumulation range here to prepare for trend continuation to the upside over time #BTC #INJ #Injective”
“#BTC Bitcoin has successfully post-breakout retested the Macro Downtrend (black) The Macro Downtrend is perfectly confluent with April/May 2026 highs (blue) $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/nRihWB8800 https://t.co/zqU4Ez3IDB”