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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 2 more calls to rank
Scored calls
13
5 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
0.0%
0 correct / 6 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg return / call
-4.39%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-57.0%
Equal stake on all 13 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-3.08%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (18) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 38% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 0.0% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −60.8% | 28 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -3.08% | 17 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
6 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin has officially broken to new Macro Higher Highs, invalidating the series of Macro Lower Highs that persisted since October 2025 When a Macro Downtrend ends, a new Macro Uptrend begins $BTC #Bitcoin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 80.0% |
52 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.43 | 7 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“#BTC Slowly, that weakness is translating into Bitcoin's price action The Daily Bearish Divergences have affected price The RSI Lower Highs have persisted (purple) Bitcoin has lost the $77k level (orange) and is developing a brand new micro Lower High on price (black) And the multi-month RSI Higher Low (blue) is in danger of confirming a breakdown If the RSI bearish retests the Higher Low into new resistance (orange circle), that could very well confirm additional downside over time $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC "If this price action ends as an upside wick by the end of the week, this will have been a bearish retest to confirm the breakdown from the 50-week EMA" Already, price action is forming an upside wick beyond the 50-week EMA (purple), solidifying a potential bearish retest here If this continues, the breakdown from the EMA will be confirmed EMAs like the 50-week EMA tend to hold as support in Bull Markets and act as resistance in Bear Markets Thus, price struggling to hold the EMA as support just demonstrates that the trend is not yet conclusively "Full Bull" $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin is indeed rebounding right into the most recently lost old support of ~$78300, potentially as part of turning it into new resistance Turning this level into new resistance would confirm the breakdown that the latest Weekly Close kickstarted Invalidation starts with a reclaim of ~$78300 back into support $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed below the 50-week EMA (purple) Technically, this could set price up for a bearish retest of the 50-week EMA into new resistance That said, at this very moment price is trying to reclaim the EMA If this price action ends as an upside wick by the end of the week, this will have been a bearish retest to confirm the breakdown from the 50-week EMA $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC The Macro Downtrend is a dynamic resistance As a result, it will represent lower prices with each passing month This August, the Macro Downtrend represents the price point of ~$79600 But in September this will drop to ~$76300 With passing time, technically it will be easier to break this Downtrend because it will represent a lower price Which is why if the Bulls truly are in control then Bitcoin should be able to sustain these highs long enough to durably breach the Downtrend In saying that, Bear Market rallies aren't able to sustain their local highs and so time will easily verify the sustainability of this newfound strength for Bitcoin or lack thereof Hovering below the Downtrend incessantly leaves price vulnerable to rejection $BTC #Bitcoin”