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@scottmelker · The Wolf Of All Streets | The Daily Wolf On @YahooFinance | Media Host | Author | Markets | Hot Takes | Bitcoin | Married up to @emimelker ALL CAPS = news team
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
56
Top 44% · #8 of 17 ranked
Scored calls
18
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
69.2%
9 correct / 4 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+2.83%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+50.9%
Equal stake on all 18 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+3.19%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (64) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 6% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 68.9% | 47 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −25.7% | 84 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +3.19% | 59 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
4 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The same signals that marked the bottom are now showing up as signs of a local top "A lot of the signals we saw that were very key signs of a bottom are now showing up as key signs of a local top. I do not think this move is over, I'm just getting excited to hopefully buy some dips as price drops here. Bitcoin has a tendency not to give you the dips you want, but that's what I'm looking for" "Those signals are overbought RSI now. We had almost historically high RSI on the daily chart. We're seeing bearish divergence with overbought RSI on lower timeframes, meaning strength abating even as price continued up" "And we're at key levels of resistance. The 50 moving average on the weekly chart, we basically went right up to it and got rejected. That's the kind of area you'd be looking for price to retrace below, to gather up strength to go back above"”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 61.5% |
47 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.29 | 81 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“For the record, today’s move on Bitcoin was awesome, but for now it’s a short squeeze into resistance. To celebrate, we need follow through.”
“The Rise and Fall of Bitcoin Treasury Companies “One thing I got right and got right early in the face of extreme pushback was that Bitcoin treasury companies were a horrible idea, the next bubble" “They’d take a defunct pharmaceutical company, turn it into a Bitcoin treasury, the stock goes up, buy a bunch of Bitcoin at the top, with no plan to ever do it again. The premium collapsed and they all top-blasted” “This was the dumbest thing I’d seen in a long time and I screamed about it repeatedly. I got pitched to invest and didn’t because it was obviously dumb””
“@cryptomanran Rosen is ambulance chasing in this case. Using us as PR to find clients for a class action. The US is highly litigious. Anyone can sue anyone for anything. The strategy risk is duration. Bitcoin goes down and stays down.”