Loading…
@scottmelker · The Wolf Of All Streets | The Daily Wolf On @YahooFinance | Media Host | Author | Markets | Hot Takes | Bitcoin | Married up to @emimelker ALL CAPS = news team
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
52
Top 48% · #11 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
38
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
40.0%
6 correct / 9 incorrect · 23 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.06%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-2.3%
Equal stake on all 38 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.02%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (49) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 5% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 39.9% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.5% | 97 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.02% | 36 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
94 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The catalyst for the last bull market was arguably the SVB failure. BTC pumped hard and eventually caught a serious bid. Would be somewhat amazing if the bond market was the spark for the next bull market.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 66.7% |
58 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.02 | 39 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“I’ve been making the case for a bottom since February. Here were my thoughts in June. They still stand, with more evidence piling in.”
“For the record, today’s move on Bitcoin was awesome, but for now it’s a short squeeze into resistance. To celebrate, we need follow through.”
“$MSTR is up 15%. Today. As I’ve continued to point out, the cure all is simply for Bitcoin price to go up.”
“I am not saying that Bitcoin is starting it's next move, although it very well could be. I am saying that I've been very publicly making the case for a potential bottom since February and I still think odds are in favor of that arugment.”
“Bitcoin’s 11-Month Correction Could FINALLY Be Ending Discussing Live @ 9 AM EST https://t.co/DpmzXEK5UO https://t.co/96XENdxsmz”
“Almost all of Bitcoin's upside happens in about 10 days a year "Bitcoin stuck in the purgatory of $60,000 to $65,000 seemingly forever, leading many to wonder where is that beautiful volatility that Bitcoin is so famous for" "But I'd remind you, in the history of Bitcoin, if you look back, almost all of the price action to the upside comes in roughly 10 days of the year. Bitcoin spends most of its time floating down or floating sideways, boring. But man, when it catches a bid, it catches a bid hard" "What it's doing right now is classic summer doldrums, bear market downside apathy, all of that. But the fact that price hasn't moved does not mean that it never will"”
“Is Saylor selling Bitcoin low only to buy it back higher with STRC? "Clearly selling Bitcoin is not a problem, and the fact that he's not buying is seemingly not a problem for the market either. But the thing I'm wondering now, and this remains open ended, is now that he's selling Bitcoin to buy STRC, what happens when STRC inevitably gets back to a hundred bucks and the old machine of using STRC to buy Bitcoin kicks back into motion?" "Are they actually going to be selling STRC to buy Bitcoin back at a higher price? Are we selling the lows on Bitcoin after buying the highs, only to buy that Bitcoin back higher with the very same instrument he's buying back? I'd say Michael Saylor here is in a bit of a pickle" "Having this not be the main narrative for crypto at the moment is really good news. Michael Saylor spent years turning dollars into Bitcoin. Now he's discovered there's a reverse button, and I don't love it"”
“Bitcoin Is Setting Up For A BREAKOUT - $853m Just Flooded Into ETFs https://t.co/QcPQgMp4bY”
“Bitcoin Is Setting Up For A Breakout - $853m Just Flooded Into ETFs Discussing Live @ 9 AM EST https://t.co/xnBThuP5Mr https://t.co/m7nh1lQlPL”
“BOTTOM SIGNAL: Bitcoin's longest historical "FEAR" stretch “When you zoom out on the one-year trend, this was the longest period we’ve ever spent in fear and extreme fear in history” “Are people usually right when they’re extremely fearful? Is that a top signal or a bottom signal? Of course it’s a bottom signal, and we still remain in fear to this day” “Historically, long extended periods of extreme fear are bottom signals, not top signals””
“The Rise and Fall of Bitcoin Treasury Companies “One thing I got right and got right early in the face of extreme pushback was that Bitcoin treasury companies were a horrible idea, the next bubble" “They’d take a defunct pharmaceutical company, turn it into a Bitcoin treasury, the stock goes up, buy a bunch of Bitcoin at the top, with no plan to ever do it again. The premium collapsed and they all top-blasted” “This was the dumbest thing I’d seen in a long time and I screamed about it repeatedly. I got pitched to invest and didn’t because it was obviously dumb””
“Everyone feared Saylor becoming a forced seller but when he actually sold, Bitcoin went up “This was arguably the biggest FUD in the market, Saylor becoming a forced seller. The narrative was he’s the only buyer, the buyer of last resort, then Bitcoin went up after he sold” “He’s shown that’s just not going to happen, and more importantly he’s shown he can’t really even buy right now, which is also not affecting the price” “To me, that’s more of a bottom signal””
“Bitcoin Is Setting Up for $70K - But The Fed Could RUIN It https://t.co/OOnzxV1HYP”
“Bitcoin Is Setting Up for $70K - But The Fed Could RUIN It Discussing Live with @JSeyff @ 9 AM EST Live https://t.co/sMqTBwb2IY https://t.co/4K7F4tNoND”