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@scottmelker · The Wolf Of All Streets | The Daily Wolf On @YahooFinance | Media Host | Author | Markets | Hot Takes | Bitcoin | Married up to @emimelker ALL CAPS = news team
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
48
Top 52% · #12 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
38
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
42.1%
16 correct / 22 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.06%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-2.3%
Equal stake on all 38 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.02%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (46) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 5% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 43.4% | 18 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.5% | 97 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.02% | 36 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
94 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC DAILY I barely trade, but there's one signal I am always watching. We have had clear bearish divergence with RSI on multiple time frames, daily shown. Right into key resistance. https://t.co/TT67egHLVh”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 66.7% |
58 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.02 | 39 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“$250,000 $ETH depends on something unrealistic: total dominance. https://t.co/DiH0bqjYxN”
“I feel like $BTC wants to go up man. https://t.co/c8tryv3E0r”
“@RyanSAdams @materkel @mikemcg0 There’s an ocean of space between absorbing the market cap of Bitcoin and gold and complete failure. My bet is it does well somewhere in between.”