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@scottmelker · The Wolf Of All Streets | The Daily Wolf On @YahooFinance | Media Host | Author | Markets | Hot Takes | Bitcoin | Married up to @emimelker ALL CAPS = news team
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
52
Top 48% · #11 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
38
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
40.0%
6 correct / 9 incorrect · 23 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.06%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-2.3%
Equal stake on all 38 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.02%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (49) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 5% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 39.9% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.5% | 97 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.02% | 36 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
9 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Banks in North Dakota are launching their own stablecoin, and they chose Solana to settle on "Even the banks in North Dakota are realizing this now. I had also told you that there is a national network of regional and community banks that's launching their own bank stablecoin network. This is not even a part of it. This is just North Dakota preempting them and creating their own system." "This is coming to all banks near you. This is how they will settle." "Now, is that investable for me in some way, shape or form? Not really, but maybe because it's on Solana. So if this becomes a massive network that's using the network and burning Solana as gas fees, then yes, the price of Solana should rise." "It's very encouraging to see that they are doing this on a decentralized network that you can own the token of."”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 66.7% |
58 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.02 | 39 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“For the record, today’s move on Bitcoin was awesome, but for now it’s a short squeeze into resistance. To celebrate, we need follow through.”
“Everyone feared Saylor becoming a forced seller but when he actually sold, Bitcoin went up “This was arguably the biggest FUD in the market, Saylor becoming a forced seller. The narrative was he’s the only buyer, the buyer of last resort, then Bitcoin went up after he sold” “He’s shown that’s just not going to happen, and more importantly he’s shown he can’t really even buy right now, which is also not affecting the price” “To me, that’s more of a bottom signal””
“Bitcoin Is Setting Up for $70K - But The Fed Could RUIN It https://t.co/OOnzxV1HYP”
“"This is actually a bear market business. You're one of the few people that's probably exceptionally well positioned while Bitcoin is trading here, near a bottom" "This would be much worse if you did it and Bitcoin was at 126 and dropped to 50" "But anyone you convince to participate in this now, if you believe that Bitcoin will rise out of this as it always has in the past, you're gonna get a massive benefit from doing it now and watching that Bitcoin go up instead of go down"”
“"We have a pump and dump contagion that I fully expect is going to continue. A month ago it was just Bitcoin and natural gas. Now it's gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and corn" Mike on why there's no hope for crypto until the stock market breaks "The list is getting longer every day. The bottom line for most of those markets to stay up, most notably Bitcoin, is the stock market has to stay up" "We are talking about the spaces with excess supply. There's a bit of a blip with crude oil in the Middle East that's going to be fixed. Natural gas, cryptos, major oversupply, and they don't have income" "The biggest game in town now is this massive pump in earnings and in the stock market. There is no hope for cryptos in this environment. At some point, they need to find their low price cure"”
“"Peter Schiff told me this weekend will be the bloodiest weekend in Bitcoin history" "People declare there will be a Black Monday all the time. Their success rate is as good as Elizabeth Warren's success rate of passing bills. Zero" "Peak fear and insanity in the market is probably the best buy signal, at least temporarily, that you have"”
“$250,000 $ETH depends on something unrealistic: total dominance. https://t.co/DiH0bqjYxN”
“@RyanSAdams @materkel @mikemcg0 There’s an ocean of space between absorbing the market cap of Bitcoin and gold and complete failure. My bet is it does well somewhere in between.”