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@scottmelker · The Wolf Of All Streets | The Daily Wolf On @YahooFinance | Media Host | Author | Markets | Hot Takes | Bitcoin | Married up to @emimelker ALL CAPS = news team
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
31
Top 69% · #13 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
17
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
40.0%
2 correct / 3 incorrect · 12 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.66%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-11.2%
Equal stake on all 17 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.65%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (43) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 6% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 31.9% | 6 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −26.1% | 81 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.65% | 47 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
2 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I am not saying that Bitcoin is starting it's next move, although it very well could be. I am saying that I've been very publicly making the case for a potential bottom since February and I still think odds are in favor of that arugment.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 84.6% |
59 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.10 | 38 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“Everyone feared Saylor becoming a forced seller but when he actually sold, Bitcoin went up “This was arguably the biggest FUD in the market, Saylor becoming a forced seller. The narrative was he’s the only buyer, the buyer of last resort, then Bitcoin went up after he sold” “He’s shown that’s just not going to happen, and more importantly he’s shown he can’t really even buy right now, which is also not affecting the price” “To me, that’s more of a bottom signal””