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@travladd · Futures trader. Partner of @okx | Business: https://t.co/5Tj83UaVch | Not financial advice.
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
89
Top 11% · #3 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
94
0 pending · 13 unresolved
Hit rate
56.3%
49 correct / 38 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+2.49%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+233.7%
Equal stake on all 94 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+2.64%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (79) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 57.2% | 82 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −12.9% | 24 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.64% | 100 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
195 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“This was once a 300 BILLION FDV token and a MAJOR lesson to thousands of investors about tokenomics. I truly feel sorry for anyone who bought $PI on the open market. Total ( circulating ) market cap: 900M Total FDV Unlocks: $507M The unlocks are people who have been stuck holding too and got their tokens basically for free besides minor phone charging costs ( extremely cheap, not like $BTC ASIC). If the token gets a pump, the unlock value increases with it. Relief rally to 1.8B ( huge capital to do this ), 1.14B in unlocks. No fee sharing model to support price whatsoever. Sinking ship unless a major revenue builder comes out that actually BENEFITS token holders. It’s cooked for a long time.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 75.0% |
64 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.65 | 97 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“If you shorted $PI when I mentioned it, massive profits. If you shorted $SPCX when I did, massive profits. Massive overhangs are horrible for sustainability UNLESS you have the revenue to back it. Period. https://t.co/VfLNZjHfz2”
“$PI is possibly one of the easiest shorts on the market right now ( if they stick to their word and give people their earned tokens ). Between now and June 2029, $505 million dollars unlocks ( current market cap is only 900M ) Price goes up? So does that unlock value. $141 million to be unlocked over the next 12 months.”
“@ArdiNSC 64.3 needs to hold. I think 60.5 is the next significant order block. Lose that, back in the 50’s.”
“@Eljaboom Needs to reclaim 64.2k ish on the weekly or 62k is next”
“$PI will go below $500M market cap. IF they stick to their unlocks. I am seeing many pioneers saying they are still overdue their tokens. https://t.co/WAdb1lvcIH”
“$BTC Lose 62.5k and the 58k range is going to be retested. Stop listening to dumb asses telling you it is altseason, if bitcoin can't breathe, alteason is not nearby. $ETH also getting fried. These ranges need to hold. https://t.co/TWdwO7l9yL”
“$BTC Lose 62.5k and the 58k range is going to be retested. Stop listening to dumb asses telling you it is altseason, if bitcoin can't breathe, alteason is not nearby. $ETH also getting fried. These ranges need to hold. https://t.co/TWdwO7l9yL”
“$RE retracement coming soon once it takes liquidity from the strong order block. MACD and RSI already bearish, price likely wants the liquidity though. Keeping an eye on it, if it goes for that liquidity and shows clear sweep, I will short. If it is already retracing now, I want to see a HTF CHoCH before entering.”
“$PI has $147,000,000 in unlocks over the next 12 months based on current price TO PEOPLE WHO LITERALLY MINED OR REFERED OTHERS, THIS MEANS NO MONETARY COST. Around 80% of the circulating supply going to users who PAID NOTHING. Long way down to go.”
“Based on earnings, a fair value for $SPCX is currently around $60 per share by the way. Will we get there? who knows. Noobs will capitulate the bottom the same way they thought buying close to 3 trillion was a good idea. If you were one of them, learn from it, and DO NOT listen to KOL's or mainstream media. Make your own analysis based on DATA.”
“Yawn $SPCX Where all all the KOL's at that told you to buy because it is going to $300 and SpaceX is different! https://t.co/jXFmSdfQfR https://t.co/YN7pzZQm1V”
“$PI scenario. Read carefully. I am expecting the rejection and CHoCH soon. The token has way too much supply ( only 10% circulating ). The highlighted order block makes total sense for the chart to take liquidity from to send it down. The yellow is just one of three possible rejections so to be used as education, I expect one of three rejections to play out with the next highs wick being respected. Retrace soon to the downside.”
“@Herbnhaler I’m eying up a $PI short soon. Need confirmation though, not trying to get ripped into as it has momentum still. Coming up to major levels.”
“If this hits 500 likes, I’ll do a daily TA for the $ANSEM community. I’m bullish but always good to understand the market structure! https://t.co/E3dalhAi8w”