@travladd · Futures trader. Partner of @okx | Business: https://t.co/5Tj83UaVch | Not financial advice.
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
89
Top 11% · #3 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
94
0 pending · 13 unresolved
Hit rate
56.3%
49 correct / 38 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+2.49%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+233.7%
Equal stake on all 94 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+2.64%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (79) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 57.2% | 82 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −12.9% | 24 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.64% | 100 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
7 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Why do we never learn guys? Why would you buy $JACK Possibly the most obvious farm so far. https://t.co/QufogVmCtn”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 75.0% |
64 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.65 | 97 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“Actually this is exactly why $Pi is possibly never going to see an all time high again. Price goes up a bit ~> ridiculous amount of tokens unlocked to miners ( basically at a 0 cost basis ~> miners sell ~> repeat. When will people learn tokenomics matter. https://t.co/3HsHn2EzBm”
“If you shorted $PI when I mentioned it, massive profits. If you shorted $SPCX when I did, massive profits. Massive overhangs are horrible for sustainability UNLESS you have the revenue to back it. Period. https://t.co/VfLNZjHfz2”
“$PI will go below $500M market cap. IF they stick to their unlocks. I am seeing many pioneers saying they are still overdue their tokens. https://t.co/WAdb1lvcIH”
“$PI has $147,000,000 in unlocks over the next 12 months based on current price TO PEOPLE WHO LITERALLY MINED OR REFERED OTHERS, THIS MEANS NO MONETARY COST. Around 80% of the circulating supply going to users who PAID NOTHING. Long way down to go.”
“@Herbnhaler I’m eying up a $PI short soon. Need confirmation though, not trying to get ripped into as it has momentum still. Coming up to major levels.”
“$PI is looking cooked. Too much supply. Won't catch me buying into any relief rally. Possibly trades through this FVG but two key levels above and a nasty order block are ready to send it back. https://t.co/l5rS8gptpv”