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@APompliano ·
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 4 more calls to rank
Scored calls
11
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
71.4%
5 correct / 2 incorrect · 4 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-0.45%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-5.0%
Equal stake on all 11 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.03%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (44) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 78.9% | 82 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −43.8% | 67 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.03% | 30 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
5 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Bitcoin doesn’t need the Clarity Act because bitcoin already has clarity. But if Clarity passes, bitcoin is going much higher.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 34.8% |
21 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.00 | 27 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“Trump announced yesterday that he is going to give out $5,000 stimulus checks. The more money he hands out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go.”
“The Treasury just reminded everyone that the money printer will never turn off. Bitcoin responded aggressively and is now at $80,000 per coin. Bitcoin has no top because the dollar has no bottom. https://t.co/WrdSvVD9v7”
“Earlier this week I said Bitcoin has been relatively stable because there hasn't been an obvious catalyst to accelerate the price. Yesterday's decisions at the Treasury may be the catalyst that bitcoin needed to get moving higher. https://t.co/6s7tpcD2vE”
“It is going to be glorious when all the profits from AI investing rotate back into bitcoin and gold.”