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@APompliano ·
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 10 more calls to rank
Scored calls
5
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
100.0%
3 correct / 0 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+1.78%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+8.9%
Equal stake on all 5 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+0.87%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (57) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 100.0% | 83 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −12.2% | 62 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.87% | 52 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
9 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“October is the start of the 4th quarter. Real OGs know bitcoin shines in the 4th quarter. https://t.co/42IjnqE4Q0”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 60.0% |
45 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.05 | 45 | 25% |
30 days · 30d
“Bitcoin & crypto is popular, but the penetration of global assets is still small. As that changes, demand should ramp from humans and AI agents. You should expect higher prices and increased velocity of capital. https://t.co/nmjZrQfSqI”
“This is the number one reason why Bitcoin is eventually going to $1 million…”
“We have repurchased another 2% of the outstanding stock at $SVIA. We have closed the NAV discount and remain committed to buying back stock if it trades below NAV. https://t.co/BbybFFBZIw”
“Bitcoin doesn’t need the Clarity Act because bitcoin already has clarity. But if Clarity passes, bitcoin is going much higher.”
“Trump announced yesterday that he is going to give out $5,000 stimulus checks. The more money he hands out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go.”
“Bitcoin had a great run over the last 30 days. But investors are not selling their public stocks to buy bitcoin, rather they are converting stablecoins into bitcoin which suggests there is much more appreciation to come. https://t.co/33CZFxcD1X”
“@mudirshin I am still a shareholder and deeply believe in Kaz and the team. Turnarounds take time, but they have built one of the most impressive teams in tech. Anyone who thinks Opendoor’s best days are behind them will likely be sadly mistaken. $OPEN”
“The Treasury just reminded everyone that the money printer will never turn off. Bitcoin responded aggressively and is now at $80,000 per coin. Bitcoin has no top because the dollar has no bottom. https://t.co/WrdSvVD9v7”