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@APompliano ·
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 8 more calls to rank
Scored calls
7
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
66.7%
2 correct / 1 incorrect · 4 neutral
Avg return / call
+3.00%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+21.0%
Equal stake on all 7 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+3.11%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (66) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 64.8% | 69 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −4.9% | 66 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +3.11% | 88 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
14 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“October is the start of the 4th quarter. Real OGs know bitcoin shines in the 4th quarter. https://t.co/42IjnqE4Q0”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 30.8% |
3 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.43 | 78 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“Bitcoin & crypto is popular, but the penetration of global assets is still small. As that changes, demand should ramp from humans and AI agents. You should expect higher prices and increased velocity of capital. https://t.co/nmjZrQfSqI”
“This is the number one reason why Bitcoin is eventually going to $1 million…”
“We have repurchased another 2% of the outstanding stock at $SVIA. We have closed the NAV discount and remain committed to buying back stock if it trades below NAV. https://t.co/BbybFFBZIw”
“If AI is half as deflationary as it appears to be, then the government will be forced to print more money to counteract the headwind. If the government prints more money, then assets like bitcoin, gold, and land will rapidly appreciate in price. Even though people don’t talk about it….bitcoin, gold, and land are some of the most valuable AI assets.”
“Bitcoin doesn’t need the Clarity Act because bitcoin already has clarity. But if Clarity passes, bitcoin is going much higher.”
“Trump announced yesterday that he is going to give out $5,000 stimulus checks. The more money he hands out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go.”
“Bitcoin had a great run over the last 30 days. But investors are not selling their public stocks to buy bitcoin, rather they are converting stablecoins into bitcoin which suggests there is much more appreciation to come. https://t.co/33CZFxcD1X”
“@mudirshin I am still a shareholder and deeply believe in Kaz and the team. Turnarounds take time, but they have built one of the most impressive teams in tech. Anyone who thinks Opendoor’s best days are behind them will likely be sadly mistaken. $OPEN”
“The best combination of assets for the next two decades will be bitcoin and AI, but not for the reason you think. The US economy is in a bad situation right now. The federal debt is over $40 trillion and the interest expense is now more than $1 trillion annually. We have a spending problem. It isn’t going away any time soon and this is all that really matters for investors over the next 20 years. You want to own bitcoin because bitcoin will appreciate if the government decides to inflate their way out of the problem. They will print trillions of dollars, devalue the dollar, and bitcoin goes to $1+ million given enough time. But the government doesn’t have to print their way out. They could decide to focus on growing their way out of the problem. In that scenario, AI will be the key technology to drive productivity and growth. So you want to own the AI stack if the government decides they are going to grow, grow, grow. You own bitcoin to benefit from inflation and you own AI to benefit from growth. Bitcoin 🤝 AI The two assets every investor must have to be prepared for either scenario.”
“The Treasury just reminded everyone that the money printer will never turn off. Bitcoin responded aggressively and is now at $80,000 per coin. Bitcoin has no top because the dollar has no bottom. https://t.co/WrdSvVD9v7”
“The tape doesn’t lie. @jvisserlabs says that bitcoin had seen hacks, Saylor selling, and many other perceived negative events, yet the asset had been hanging steady right before the latest big move up. The tape is telling you something has changed. https://t.co/OgtpKRBp1B”
“The government is never going to stop printing money, so bitcoin is never going to stop going up long-term.”
“Earlier this week I said Bitcoin has been relatively stable because there hasn't been an obvious catalyst to accelerate the price. Yesterday's decisions at the Treasury may be the catalyst that bitcoin needed to get moving higher. https://t.co/6s7tpcD2vE”