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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
31
Top 69% · #13 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
204
68 pending · 11 unresolved
Hit rate
58.3%
119 correct / 85 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+7.97%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+1625.0%
Equal stake on all 204 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+1.31%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (34) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 60.7% | 28 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −237.5% | 16 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.31% | 22 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
431 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$PENGU I realize that memes in general are totally dead and that those types of risk on assets aren't going to be coming back until the overall market gets better. With that said, I think that many of these have a few x in them at a minimum when that does happen. Now, you can say the same thing about any beaten down coin- but memes always have stronger energy in the right environment vs. something dead like TIA. The only concern is mostly time...it could take a while before these things really strongly move. But I do think that coins like PENGU are good options when solana shitcoins come back. I have a bag.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.04 | 25 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“Memes still present some of the best R:R trades right now IMO. The only issue is the time factor, where these types of buys can take weeks or even months before the materialize. Coins like $FARTCOIN can easily go a few x from here and it wont take much to move that market. https://t.co/DPId3mEYz7”
“goes without saying if btc loses this current 58k region then we'll prob see some violence everywhere. nothing is safe but you can maybe place some stink bids in hope they hit.”
“$BTC I guess next level up is like 54k?? https://t.co/bU6jIjGSu5”
“prob a retard move but I bought some $SPCX small, will cut under the lows at 145 tho”
“$VVV I was pretty bearish on this one and I still am from a chart/flow perspective but the overall pmf is undeniable and it definitely has its place in a narrative standpoint for decentralization + AI. I thought (and still think) that $9-$11 would be reasonable but this will continue to spike up as long as these big AI companies keep pushing KYC. Overall broader market still sucks too so there's that, but will keep watching”
“Bitcoin: If we close like this on the daily I am very very scared...breaching that February low isn't good at all. https://t.co/NAtePgF7Lr”
“Bitcoin: Viewing 54k if we lose this current level...not really sure honestly. https://t.co/EC6yphIHK2”
“$RAIN is an interesting chart; it's held up really well overall but pretty low volume on it. PM is still a decent narrative and I'm a big fan of boxing so it's cool to see a partnership with Mike Tyson. Even still, not really sure where you can enter/exit on this one...I bet it probably just keeps going though. https://t.co/ajTX2IUHYB”
“$ZAMA it looks like their confidential vault is live and ZAMA is the intersection between privacy + DeFi. Price has held up pretty well on a relative basis and I still expect it to respect the trendline. Strong coin lately https://t.co/dj1VZkFjIc https://t.co/C3CpYMomnH”
“if BTC legs down then I think you can short some of the recent runners. Coins like $WLD, $AERO $EIGEN are candidates. Yes, they've shown decent relative strength lately but the pullbacks today are meaningful. More watching right now (not shorting immediately)”