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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
55
Top 45% · #5 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
77
10 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
46.3%
19 correct / 22 incorrect · 36 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.84%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+64.4%
Equal stake on all 77 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.66%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (53) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 12% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.1% | 69 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −244.2% | 3 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.66% | 14 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
10 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH is a dogshit coin but the lows are still holding and I still expect this to be fine as long as bitcoin holds up. It's still going to keep chopping though imo https://t.co/MWDJJkHhUX”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.05 | 83 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“War with Iran Equities melting down AI run over Macro dying Geopolitics unstable worldwide Europe burning ...BTC to all time high now, let's go”
“$SOL I think this bottoms soon around $95. Obviously going to go as bitcoin goes but I think we see a bounce in that area. Still a coin I'm eyeing over the next month or so https://t.co/misMJFBdAP”
“$BTC 200 ema on the 4h a great local bottom...let's hope this continues https://t.co/dadR0qsGs7”
“$USELESS I think this is the local bottom around here. If btc remains strong, useless goes up another 30-50% imo https://t.co/4oO3Ytw0EY”
“$ETH some extremely volatile price action there but we held the range lows and I think its logical that we continue moving higher as long as bitcoin is stable. I'm exposed via some options https://t.co/OgCWQrgeSd”
“$BAT targeting 0.15 or so for this one on a first bounce https://t.co/otdwnQqDEi”
“$ETH we're still ok imo; still in the same trading range that we've been at for almost 2 months. If BTC truly breaks down to the low 70ks then I think ETH breaks below the range low. Until then, assume we're still fine https://t.co/y5fOwh7XrB”
“$PUMP this is a pretty interesting spot that should provide as a bounce area. 4h 200 ema + high volume node + S/R region https://t.co/C8somdNzp1”
“@strazbejana prob happens if btc legs down”