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Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
91
Top 9% · #2 of 17 ranked
Scored calls
68
35 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
83.0%
44 correct / 9 incorrect · 15 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+10.61%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+721.6%
Equal stake on all 68 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+5.90%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (91) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 3% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 83.2% | 94 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −22.0% | 100 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +5.90% | 88 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
9 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH just closed above $2,600 on daily for the first time in the last 8 months. This is giga bullish for Altcoins. https://t.co/PwvFkJfl1g”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
78 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.45 | 94 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“My analysis on what happens after FOMC: Warsh is bullish: BTC dumps Warsh is bearish: BTC dumps Warsh says nothing: BTC dumps Keeping my expectations low already.”
“This is not looking good boys. Bitcoin got rejected from the 50W MA. We need to close the weekly candle back above it to confirm $57K was the bottom and the real bull market has started. What's concerning is that the last two times Bitcoin got rejected here, a major crash followed. If $BTC closes below the 50W MA, $75,500 is the next support. If that breaks, the next major level to watch is the 200W MA, currently around $65K.”
“BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO CRASH REALLY HARD. https://t.co/oAjQpjrUMG”
“Bitcoin just lost its daily trendline Last time this happened, BTC dumped 20% We’re cooked https://t.co/IVFd26MD7p”
“PACK IT UP BOYS. IT'S OVER FOR $ETH. https://t.co/x6iYwO0Ypr”
“🚨Bitcoin just broke below $59,000 again and continues to show weakness. This is happening despite relative stability in US, Japan, and South Korea markets. https://t.co/TMK0MfiswD”
“MSTR down -24% in this week and broke a support level it held for 830 days. The $100 level that held through every correction since the Bitcoin ETF launched in January 2024 just broke MSTR is trading at $85 after hours and now down -84% from its peak. Let’s compare Bitcoin chart alongside it. Bitcoin is down -54% from its $126k peak. Currently trading below 5% of the weekly MA 200. The same moving average that has marked the bottom of every major Bitcoin bear market in history. Here is the scenario nobody wants to say out loud. MSTR and Bitcoin have moved together since the ETF launched on January 11 2024. MSTR jumped 1,129% and Bitcoin jumped 225% to ATH. If MSTR retests $40 the Bitcoin chart suggests a parallel retest of the post ETF launch support near $42,000. The same level Bitcoin was trading when the ETF changed everything in January 2024. $100 on MSTR and $62,500 on Bitcoin are now the most important levels in the entire crypto. If they do not reclaim these levels fast the next stop is a long way down.”
“This is why Bitcoin keeps on Dumping. Saylor's $MSTR crashed to a 2-year low of $97, down -82% from its peak wiping out more than $150 billion in market value. For years, Strategy relied on issuing new shares to buy more Bitcoin But with weak market conditions, that approach is becoming harder to sustain. The company recently sold 32 Bitcoin for the first time in years to help cover dividend payments, a move that challenges its long-standing "never sell" narrative. Strategy still holds a massive 847,363 BTC so this isn't an immediate crisis But the model is now facing its biggest stress test yet. If Bitcoin recovers MSTR could rebound strongly but If the weakness continues, investors may see more dilution, cash usage, and even additional BTC sales. This Fear is pushing Bitcoin lower.”