@CredibleCrypto · *Tweets are my opinion, not financial advice* All OFFICIAL platform links and content are ONLY found on my website below.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
60
Top 41% · #9 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
139
38 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
61.2%
85 correct / 54 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+3.05%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+423.3%
Equal stake on all 139 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+2.00%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (66) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 7% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 62.7% | 76 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −265.0% | 27 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.00% | 64 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
371 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“A commonly repeated idea in this space is that crypto is lackluster/bleeding because liquidity is flowing out of it and into the stock market. The idea being proposed is that people are selling their crypto for equities. Many believe that this is the PRIMARY driver of the lackluster PA we have been seeing in the crypto space over the last couple of years while equities have outperformed. If you believe this to be true, then the opposite must also be true- when stocks finally peak and liquidity is now flowing OUT of them and not INTO them, then the sell pressure on crypto should also subside- not intensify. The reality is that liquidity in the crypto space has been drained (for one reason or another) and those that are left holding are not likely to be shaken out (we can validate this at least on Bitcoin where LTH supply is at the highest levels it has ever been and is only increasing, not decreasing). So when a 150T+ market finally peaks (global equities) it is unlikely that the 1.5T crypto market is somehow going to tank significantly further. Rather, if we have literally TENS OF TRILLIONS of dollars of liquidity flowing OUT of global equities now instead of flowing INTO them (which is what will happen when they peak) those profits are likely to find there way into other sectors, and if even 1-2% of that capital finds it's way into crypto it will set off another MASSIVE run across the board. So stop worrying about a blow off top in trad equities if you have exposure to crypto- really you should welcome it.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 95.7% |
82 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.10 | 76 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“@1991_gurjit Still think we may get a LTF pullback but any dips are for buying imo. HTF bullish.”
“@Shaks2t I can see the argument for that. I think part of my bias also stems from the idea that I can see a solid argument for a LTF pullback on both BTC and ETH as well and if we get that it increases the odds that we take the low of that proposed LTF impulse as well.”
“@Shaks2t I can see the argument for that. I think part of my bias also stems from the idea that I can see a solid argument for a LTF pullback on both BTC and ETH as well and if we get that it increases the odds that we take the low of that proposed LTF impulse as well.”
“As we are sitting in the middle of a range here with supply above and demand below, I am not taking a position (trade) at this time. However, ideally I would prefer that we visit the lower region (green) first as it increases the odds that we could be building up a clean series of LTF impulses of different degrees (1-2, 1-2) here for an explosive expansion further down the line. Let's see how things develop in the coming days. ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52”
“@0xMightyHopium @saylor Bitcoin has seen four 85% drawdown's in its history and still recovered from every single one and went on to trade 100x higher. You shouldn't assume something is wrong because price is down- that's an opportunity when fundamentals are sound.”
“Lmao yea $TRAC doing that thing it likes to do 😂 Can’t wait for the actual expansion to begin when the time is right. Will be epic. Until then will continue to accumulate as much as possible in the HTF accumulation zone (.15-.35). https://t.co/8dvMjnTRVr”
“So the question was if I had a 100k to invest today, how much would I allocate to trading vs spot ports and how would I allocate the balance in my spot port for a 4 year time horizon. Here is my answer: 80% spot, 20% trading port. The 80% sits in mid to long term investments- typically until the end of the secular bull run (for this example we can assume the end of the 4 year time horizon for example). The 20% is used to actively trade in and out of any position on any asset that my heart desires. "But Cred, if you keep 80% of your capital sitting in long term investments that may take years to move, isn't there a massive opportunity cost?" No, not at all, and this is one of the biggest misconceptions I see around here. Opportunity cost DOESN'T EXIST in today's environment when you have access to all the margin/leverage tools that we have today. As an example, if you have a 100k port and no access to margin and leverage, then you would need to utilize 100% of that capital to trade a 100k position. However, with access to leverage and margin, you can use 10k of that capital to trade the exact same 100k position while the other 90% of your capital can sit off exchanges, or in this case, in mid to long term investments. When used correctly, and with "proper" position sizing, there is ZERO additional risk to using leverage or margin to trade a 100k position with only 10k of capital vs using 100k of your capital to trade that same position without leverage. When used correctly, leverage/margin can allow you to remove capital constraints and trade effectively with your intended size while at the same time freeing up otherwise "locked up" capital with which you can invest in longer term, high conviction, "set it and forget it" bets. If the above isn't making sense to you and you don't understand why or how this is possible, I recommend watching my 3 video series that breaks it all down in 25 minutes (total) which you can find here: https://t.co/0ppzdg4FTx Now for the second part of the question- how would I allocate it over the next 4 years: At this stage since these are longer term, end of cycle bets, and because I am now not worried about timing and "opportunity cost", I am simply looking to buy the highest R/R coins that I can that I believe are fundamentally sound, at bargain prices, and will still be here until the end of the cycle when it's time to cash out. For my "blue chips", I would pass on $BTC (which was my "blue chip" pick until 100k+) and instead allocate to $ETH and $XRP. For the rest of my exposure, I'd go with my "top" picks, the same tokens I've been talking about for years that are all fundamentally sound from a technology and tokenomics perspective- which include $HBAR, $CRV, $CVX, and $TRAC off the top of my head. For diversification sake, I'd probably look to add maybe 2-3 more high conviction tokens to this list at most. Also worth noting I'd go heavier on $CVX over $CRV, simply because of the potential to earn yield while I wait for the eventual price rise. If interested in potential yield projections on $CVX, you can read an article I wrote about it here: https://t.co/6pk8IztFEL The % that you allocate to the "blue chips" vs smaller more volatile alts is a personal choice that will differ for everyone imo. For me, I would focus on the blue chips in tax deferred, retirement accounts if possible while getting exposure to the smaller cap alts outside of those venues. My personal split would probs be something along the lines of 30-50% blue chips, 50-70% smaller cap alts- but that ratio will obviously fluctuate with time and price, especially considering the expectation that the "blue chips" will be first out of the gates.”
“Yea thats the thing though- Bitcoin HAS moved first- the run from 15k to 126k was either Bitcoin's major move or the first major leg in a much larger move (which would ultimately be even more bullish for alts at the end of the day). You know my thesis I think so I won't go over it all again, but ultimately I think we are on the verge of a major shift here for the first time in 5+ years. We will know soon enough of course.”
“💯💯💯 Biggest accumulation = biggest expansion $ETH to 20k+ https://t.co/05a4PYdSUX”
“Zooming in, something like this would be ideal on LTF for $CVX. https://t.co/GSahTkHQua https://t.co/VEz0V8Fmdl”
“On higher timeframes, I am unequivocally bullish on $ETH, and I made a very in-depth video last week explaining why (pinned tweet). Based on developing PA, we have a few different ways this can play out on lower timeframes though. This post will cover the potential options and explain what you should be looking for: There are 3 main possibilities on the table right now. Two of the three suggest that our bottom on $ETH is already in. 1 of the three allows for a marginal lower low below $1500 but not below $1380. Let's break each one down: Scenario 1: This is technically the "least bullish" option. We have what looks like a potential 5 wave impulse off of our lows, but this is preceded by two corrective structures, giving us a classic "flat" corrective structure (3-3-5) that means this LTF impulsive move up was just the "C" wave of a corrective structure to local supply (in non EW terms, essentially just ranging PA with a deviation above the highs). In this scenario, we would expect a pullback from here to at least sub $1700 and potentially below $1500 (new local lows) but not below $1380 (our HTF inval level). Scenario 2: In this case, our bottom is already in on $ETH (yes, leaving behind a double bottom/equal lows). In this case we printed our 1st low timeframe impulse which would be kicking off the move that takes us to new all time highs and we would expect a pullback soon for our "wave 2" before continuation to the upside. In this case, a pullback below $1700 is likely, but we should NOT make new lows below $1500. This is neither the most bullish nor the least bullish option. Scenario 3: In this scenario, we are printing our first low timeframe impulse (just like in Scenario 2) but it is not yet complete- and the 5th subwave may extend into the 2000's before any significant pullback. This would be the "most bullish" option that gives almost nothing in terms of a pullback (would not expect a move below even $1750). Ultimately, on the LTF, all three options are currently on the table. We can't see the future so we will use developing PA, market context, and the process of elimination to narrow down the possibilities until only the most probable remains. Meanwhile, on the HTF, our stance is clear- and there is only one primary expectation at this time- that our HTF bottom is being formed and we won't see below $1380's. In a situation like this the plan is simple and straightforward if you agree with the above- load up on spot ETH for a HTF end-of-cycle hold while at the same time watching PA develop so we can narrow down a more precise trade entry on lower timeframes. If the lower TF entry is missed, we simply wait for the next one and in the meantime ride our spot holdings to new all time highs and ultimately, $20,000+ $ETH.”
“@DavidHa35869866 I think any breaks up would be temporary/short lived (BTC going parabolic).”
“A nice start... ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52 https://t.co/gccLg0MSYM https://t.co/9CZxaMd1GG”
“@TheCryptoGypsy1 So we haven’t hit my target on HBAR/BTC yet so seems the blue zone on HBAR/USD will probs be met. ETH can def go back down to $1600.”