@CryptoBusy · Crypto Educators & Market Analyst | #Bitcoin Trader Since 2017 | Early-Stage Alpha Hunter: RWA, AI, DePIN, L1/L2, Web3 Gaming
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
17
Top 83% · #18 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
108
3 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
49.1%
28 correct / 29 incorrect · 51 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.57%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-62.0%
Equal stake on all 108 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.89%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (36) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.7% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −107.9% | 48 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.89% | 21 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
28 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$SOL is setting up for its next major move. After breaking its long-term downtrend, price is now consolidating inside a bullish pennant. Key levels: • Break above $108–$110: bullish continuation toward $120, then $130 • Lose $98 - $100: possible pullback toward $92 My bias remains bullish while $SOL holds the $98–$100 support zone. I’m waiting for confirmation before entering.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 88.9% |
70 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.11 | 15 | 25% |
All time · stated
“ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is a chart to watch. Breaking out of a 323-day MAJOR resistance is something we cannot ignore. Keeping an eye on that higher high. https://t.co/dooTRqSM8r”
“ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is a chart to watch. Breaking out of a 323-day MAJOR resistance is something we cannot ignore. Keeping an eye on that higher high. https://t.co/dooTRqSM8r”
“Called this on July 1: ethereum:native breaks trendline, reclaim it and the bottom is likely in. And now we're up 48% off that low, back above $2,300! 🔥 https://t.co/qUpk5dLiUG https://t.co/AIFM9tqBuu”
“@DomOnChain Supply is getting tighter every day while demand keeps climbing. Bullish as hell!”
“Gold +29% since September 2025. $BTC -41% over the same stretch. This is the widest divergence I've seen between the two in years. But if you zoom out - $BTC is still undervalued! https://t.co/LRDmL6V0Dd”
“@CryptoTony__ The bigger trend stays intact as long as key support holds, and pullbacks into demand are usually where patience pays off rather than chasing strength.”
“@TedPillows Holding key support is a good start. Now it's all about whether buyers can keep stepping in and build enough momentum for the next move higher.”
“@cryptogoos Seasonality is worth watching, but it's only one piece of the puzzle. If macro conditions and liquidity improve alongside it, July could provide a better backdrop for Bitcoin.”
“solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 on a bullish divergence! Time to keep an eye on this breakout! I miss the trenches. Lol https://t.co/hSyCowV2UT https://t.co/LI7Gs1jiak”
“ethereum:native is sitting on a multi-year trendline that has produced a major bounce every single time it was tested 2022, 2024, and right now at $1,648. An entry level Web3 salary can buy you a whole ethereum:native right now. That is either the best discount of the cycle or a warning - but historically, this line has never broken.”
“@Nebraskangooner $ETH still looks weak from a market structure perspective. Until key levels are reclaimed, protecting capital and waiting for confirmation is probably the better approach.”
“@TedPillows @grok explain this further”
“@Nebraskangooner Interesting bearish setup. Failed recoveries often become more important than the initial breakdown itself, especially if buyers can't reclaim key levels quickly.”
“@MartiniGuyYT I agree this is a key level to watch. Until $BTC decisively reclaims $75k, liquidity positioning still suggests caution rather than aggressively calling for a short squeeze.”