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@CryptoKaleo · καλέω: to call This is my journal Co-Founder - @LedgArt_io
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
66
Top 34% · #8 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
245
0 pending · 34 unresolved
Hit rate
48.2%
106 correct / 114 incorrect · 25 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.29%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+71.8%
Equal stake on all 245 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.29%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (56) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 18% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.7% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −68.2% | 0 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.29% | 88 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
589 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@VentureCoinist @saylor Look at MSTR/BTC ratio since the inception of the preferred stock strategy (7/31/25), which was supposed to provide “more amplification” and “less dilution” for MSTR holders…”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.4% |
91 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.11 | 55 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“And for what it’s worth - I believe BTC finds its bottom around the same time Strategy has enough cash set aside to at least wipe away the $6.7B of convertible debt sitting on its books. That doesn’t necessarily mean MSTR bottoms at the same time. It’s important to remember Bitcoin isn’t defined by one man or one company.”
“Part of me thinks Saylor announcing Strategy’s Bitcoin sale kicks the can down the road *slightly*… aka maybe we don’t see a capitulation event in the market this week - But still believe 30s/40s for BTC are imminent. When there’s blood in the water, it’s only a matter of time before the market tries to hunt it down for more.”
“Forced sellers. https://t.co/IQK2I97yK1”
“@ChayaCapital King of vagueposting? Brother - I’ve been posting relentlessly the last month about how much healthier it would be for Strategy to sell BTC here instead of buying more. Feel like this fits in pretty well to the context of the content I’ve been sharing lol.”
“Strategy bought a net of 69 Bitcoin for $20M last month for an average buy price of $289K. Saylor is trying to speedrun proving $1M/BTC in real-time.”
“#Ethereum / ethereum:native still accumulating beneath the HTF s/r flip. Expect a move down near $1K to retest 2022 lows prior to running it back to the highs. https://t.co/0WBD08lweC”
“#Bitcoin / $BTC That's the type of breakout / immediate retrace candle you see prior to breaking down out of the range to new lows. https://t.co/njRCN68Tce https://t.co/UlR127FzdS”
“#Bitcoin / bitcoin:native Still believe we see something like this play out from here this year. 2027 is gonna be lit though. https://t.co/Dr7NtkJHDi https://t.co/VWrHHLlDVc”
“#Bitcoin / bitcoin:native Low 50s / 40s from here. https://t.co/rRjm4EnAEF”
“$STRC If you think Stretch is a great buy at $80, you'll think it's a steal at $60. https://t.co/NLgf78mJeQ https://t.co/scIXXWFa0W”
“His credit is weaker than it’s ever been. He’s diluting the equity nonstop at levels he promised he wouldn’t. And he’s about to sell billions in Bitcoin.”
“@saylor Are you just listing the opposite of what your new strategy is? Your credit is weaker than it’s ever been because of your own greed. You’ve broken promises and are diluting the equity nonstop to try and get out of this mess. And you’re about to sell billions in Bitcoin.”
“@udiWertheimer 🤝 He’s hoping that announcing that they’re willing to do it will be enough to prevent them from having to do it Instead just opens the door for the market to front run him even worse”
“Aka shows you how something is fundamentally off when the market views it bullish that the largest buyer of Bitcoin just announced plans to become a seller instead.”