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@CryptoKaleo · καλέω: to call This is my journal Co-Founder - @LedgArt_io
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
66
Top 34% · #8 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
245
0 pending · 34 unresolved
Hit rate
47.4%
109 correct / 121 incorrect · 15 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.66%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+162.1%
Equal stake on all 245 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.68%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (61) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 18% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.7% | 30 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −75.7% | 6 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.68% | 91 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
589 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“7 out of the last 10 years #Bitcoin has climbed after tax day. Several of them led to massive runs for $BTC in a relatively short window immediately after. Time to run it back turbo. https://t.co/ZpG9wXK3Wh”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.4% |
88 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.13 | 73 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“#Bitcoin / $BTC Anything under $100K is FUD. https://t.co/kfrJdrwH1G https://t.co/2ygaKTBtlT”
“One clarification I should have stated - the realistic estimate for how much BTC is in old satoshi era wallets that most likely won't be migrated is closer to 2 million, which is still ~10% of the supply and hundreds of billions of dollars.”
“Up to ~6.8 million #Bitcoin currently sit in quantum vulnerable wallets. That's ~$500B worth of risk for $BTC the market has priced in. It's one of the major reasons people cite for the recent dip and underperformance BTC has had vs. other commodities. What happens if that risk goes away? If BIP-361 (or something similar down the road) passes, rather than worrying about a massive liquidation cascade, the total supply of Bitcoin would effectively be reduced by a large %. What's currently priced in as a massive risk factor - would all of a sudden become a massive supply reduction. BTC becomes verifiably more scarce, and is protected from extractors and bad actors. When you look at the incentive factor alone, I think this outcome is much more likely than people are currently giving it credit for. It'll obviously be hotly debated - but I think there's good evidential support this is what Satoshi would have wanted. And as hope and momentum replace fear and doubt, the price of Bitcoin will reflect it. You're still early. Be more bullish.”