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@CryptoKaleo · καλέω: to call This is my journal Co-Founder - @LedgArt_io
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
75
Top 25% · #6 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
239
7 pending · 33 unresolved
Hit rate
45.8%
109 correct / 129 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
+13.25%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
+3166.2%
Equal stake on all 239 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+11.74%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (71) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 18% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 45.5% | 42 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −466.7% | 6 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +11.74% | 97 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
589 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Strategy announced they purchased zero BTC last week. Instead, they announced they’re planning on selling $1.25B of Bitcoin soon and the market flipped green. Shows you the exact state of things. They need cash. They know it and the market knows it. Biggest question is how efficiently can they sell the BTC and how much of an impact it has when they actually start.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
91 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.34 | 94 | 25% |
All time · 7d
“@comic Honestly wouldn’t long BTC until we see a bit more resolved with Strategy”
“$SOL Target for Solana is still $40, with a possible wick into the high 30s before a real bottom. Good luck in the trenches fellas. https://t.co/iayJ3irMxN https://t.co/ZyC4L0JpMU”
“#Bitcoin / $BTC If we find out they actually bought more instead of sold, might just see a move to the 40s/50s this week. https://t.co/SouiWaEiVo https://t.co/pexzO7GBYX”
“Absolute worst thing Strategy could have done for $MSTR here is buy more Bitcoin. Best case is we find out tomorrow they sold a bunch and the price of BTC managed to hold $60K. https://t.co/Z4EUQ3y2U0”
“Extrapolate the trend from the drawdown % for each Bitcoin bear market, and the current one should land somewhere around 72.5%. $126,073 × (0.725) ≈ $34,670 https://t.co/eFjijpcDmM”
“$STRC down to $71. Already knocking on the door of the $60s. Insane unraveling. https://t.co/cubciV8Lpp https://t.co/gFDec5Z8Dg”
“$MSTR Wouldn't shock me at all to see a gap down tomorrow and then into early next week the way this has been accelerating If / when support @ $60K BTC gives out, the floor for MSTR collapses with it. https://t.co/ciV6mgx5K3 https://t.co/RKceHTlog5”
“@mikewmunz “The price is telling you people are way too emotional about the FUD they are read” Or crazy idea - maybe the price is just reflecting the reality of the situation?”
“#Bitcoin / bitcoin:native pretty violent move to break back beneath $60K to start the day, retesting the range lows should be some pretty crazy candles when this breaks remember though fellas: this too shall pass https://t.co/hem0zIsgWu”
“$MSTR printing fresh lows. When BTC breaks beneath $60K and their published mNAV breaks under 1.0, expect this to accelerate pretty quickly. https://t.co/mpBOWhoOyE https://t.co/fMWQWeDx29”
“$STRC looks ready to stretch into the $60s Should be some really great effective yield down there! https://t.co/1Y5syrqc4Z https://t.co/gqaUEejY52”
“@RunnerXBT Ironically have the feeling that BTC does exactly what Saylor said it would do right after he’s forced to sell a large stack of it”
“$STRC just made new all time lows again in the low 80s. Honestly think this might get a bit worse than just going to the mid 70s. Expect it to more closely follow the path of what we've seen with STRD, STRK, etc. Strategy still has the opportunity to save their holders and assets from absolutely cannibalizing themselves, but as I've been saying the last several weeks - it'll take some humility and doing something drastic. e.g. sell 50-100K+ BTC now and put $10B+ on their balance sheet rather than waiting until it dips into the mid 30s... the sooner they sell - the less they have to sell.”
“$STRC just made new all time lows again in the low 80s. Honestly think this might get a bit worse than just going to the mid 70s. Expect it to more closely follow the path of what we've seen with STRD, STRK, etc. Strategy still has the opportunity to save their holders and assets from absolutely cannibalizing themselves, but as I've been saying the last several weeks - it'll take some humility and doing something drastic. e.g. sell 50-100K+ BTC now and put $10B+ on their balance sheet rather than waiting until it dips into the mid 30s... the sooner they sell - the less they have to sell.”